Select Language

AUD/JPY holds ground near 97.00 following solid Australia Trade Balance data

Breaking news

AUD/JPY holds ground near 97.00 following solid Australia Trade Balance data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.04 11:46
AUD/JPY holds ground near 97.00 following solid Australia Trade Balance data

update 2025.09.04 11:46

  • AUD/JPY steadies as Australia's Trade Balance widened to 7,310 million MoM in July, against the expected 4,920 million.
  • Australia's Exports rose by 3.3% MoM, while Imports declined by 1.3% MoM in July.
  • Japan's trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa is visiting the United States as administrative talks move forward.

AUD/JPY is poised to continue its winning streak that began on August 21, trading around 96.80 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency cross moves little following the release of stronger-than-expected Australia's Trade Balance data.

However, the AUD/JPY cross may further appreciate as the Australian Dollar (AUD) may regain its ground against its peers as solid July Trade Surplus, along with robust Q2 GDP figures eased expectations of additional Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cuts, with swaps now assigning nearly a 90% probability that the central bank will keep policy unchanged in late September.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the Trade Balance increased to 7,310 million month-over-month in July, from 5,366 million (revised from 5,365 million) the prior month. The Trade Surplus widened, defying expectations for a decline to 4,920 million. Australia's Exports rose by 3.3% MoM in July from 6.3% (revised from 6.0%) seen prior. Meanwhile, Imports declined by 1.3% MoM, compared to a fall of 1.5% (revised from -3.1%) seen in June.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported on Wednesday that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.6% quarter-over-quarter in Q2, following the 0.3% growth in Q1 and surpassing the expectations of 0.5% expansion. Meanwhile, the annual Q2 GDP grew by 1.8%, compared with the 1.4% growth in Q1, and was above the consensus of a 1.6% increase.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Wednesday that the policy path for rate hikes remains intact, provided growth and inflation evolve as expected. Investors now look to Friday's wage data for additional policy signals.

Japan's trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa noted on Thursday that he was visiting the United States (US) as administrative talks progress. Akazawa further added that he will continue to push for a presidential order for the tariffs that have been agreed on.

Economic Indicator

Trade Balance (MoM)

The trade balance released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is the difference in the value of its imports and exports of Australian goods. Export data can give an important reflection of Australian growth, while imports provide an indication of domestic demand. Trade Balance gives an early indication of the net export performance. If a steady demand in exchange for Australian exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the AUD.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Sep 04, 2025 01:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 7,310M

Consensus: 4,920M

Previous: 5,365M

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.04

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.04

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

AUD/USD jumps to six-week high as weak US NFP cement Fed cut

The AUD/USD rallies to six weeks high of 0.6588 after the latest Nonfarm Payrolls report in the United States (US), had cemented the case that the Federal Reserve would cut rates at the September meeting. The pair trades at 0.6565 up 0.40%
New
update2025.09.06 00:22

Silver consolidates near 14-year high as weak NFP data boosts Fed cut bets

Silver (XAG/USD) is holding firm around $41.00 on Friday after retesting multi-year highs in the wake of soft US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The metal peaked at $41.47 on Wednesday, its strongest level since September 2011, before easing slightly on Thursday.
New
update2025.09.05 23:58

USD/CAD steadies near 1.3800 as Canada jobs slump offsets US Dollar weakness

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakens on Friday after dismal labor market data, but broad US Dollar (USD) softness following a weak US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report kept USD/CAD's upside in check. The pair is holding near the 1.3800 handle, rebounding from a four-day low in the aftermath of the release.
New
update2025.09.05 22:54

ECB preview: The ECB's rate cut cycle is probably over - ABN AMRO

The Governing Council kept policy on hold in July, and is likely to remain on hold at the September meeting and for the foreseeable future, ABN AMRO's economists Nick Kounis and Bill Divney report.
New
update2025.09.05 22:54

US Dollar Index sinks below 98.00 as Fed rate cut bets pick up pace

The Greenback loses further momentum on Friday, en route to weekly losses.
New
update2025.09.05 22:35

USD/JPY drops toward 147.00 as USD weakens after NFP data

After spending the first half of the day comfortably above 148.00, USD/JPY reversed its direction in the American session and dropped toward 147.00. As of writing, the pair was down 0.75% on the day at 147.30.
New
update2025.09.05 22:29

Canada Unemployment Rate rises to 7.1% in August vs. 7% expected

The Unemployment Rate in Canada rose to 7.1% in August from 6.9% in July, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. This reading came in worse than the market expectation of 7%.
New
update2025.09.05 22:07

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 after dismal US jobs data

GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum and climbed above 1.3500 in the American session on Friday. At the time of press, the pair was up 0.6% on the day at 1.3515.
New
update2025.09.05 22:02

EUR/USD surges above 1.1700 as weak US NFP drags Dollar Index and yields lower

The Euro (EUR) rallies against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report disappointed with just 22K jobs added in August, far below the 75K expected and July's 79K (revised from 73K).
New
update2025.09.05 21:54

EUR/GBP steadies as markets weigh Eurozone growth and UK Retail Sales

The Euro (EUR) edges higher against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with EUR/GBP trading around 0.8680 during the European session.
New
update2025.09.05 21:09

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel