Select Language

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1650 ahead of German Retail Sales, CPI data

Breaking news

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1650 ahead of German Retail Sales, CPI data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.08.29 11:44
EUR/USD falls to near 1.1650 ahead of German Retail Sales, CPI data

update 2025.08.29 11:44

  • EUR/USD depreciates as traders adopt caution ahead of Germany's key economic data.
  • Traders will likely observe the July US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data later in the North American session.
  • Fed concerns have deepened after US Vice President Vance confirmed the end of the central bank's autonomy.

EUR/USD loses ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1660 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders await July Retail Sales and August preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Germany later in the day. Focus will shift toward the July US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data due in the North American session.

The EUR/USD pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) recovers ground, as the United States (US) economy grew in the second quarter. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized climbed 3.3% in Q2, a faster pace than the initially estimated 3.1% increase and 3.0% prior.

However, the US Dollar may face challenges amid renewed dovish sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy outlook. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support an interest-rate cut in the September meeting and further reductions over the next three to six months to prevent the labor market from collapsing, per Reuters.

The concerns over Fed independence have increased following the recent remarks from US Vice President JD Vance. Vance confirmed, in an interview with USA Today on Thursday, the end of the Federal Reserve's autonomy. He noted: "I don't think we allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without any input from the people that were elected to serve the American people...POTUS is much better able to make these determinations."

The European Central Bank's (ECB) July Meeting Minutes indicated that policymakers saw risks tilted to the downside over the next two years, citing weaker growth prospects and the impact of US tariffs. However, some members cautioned that longer-term risks could lean to the upside, particularly amid uncertainties surrounding energy and currency fluctuations.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.08.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.08.29

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

AUD/USD struggles to extend upside above 0.6550 ahead of US PCE inflation data

The AUD/USD pair struggles to extend its upside above the key level of 0.6500 during the European trading session on Friday.
New
update2025.08.29 19:22

DXY: Core PCE today - OCBC

US Dollar (USD) extended its slippage overnight while most other currencies, including Asian FX advanced more than G7 counterparts. DXY last at 98.01 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.29 19:16

USD: Dollar downside risks have increased - ING

The dollar has weakened a bit further, in line with the direction set by lower front-end US Dollar (USD) rates, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.08.29 19:14

USD/JPY: Mild downward bias - OCBC

USD/JPY was a touch softer, likely weighed by moves in USD/CNY. Pair was last at 147.13 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.29 19:11

CAD: Growth outlook keeps deteriorating - ING

With the exception of the New Zealand dollar (which was hit by a dovish cut from the Reserve Bank), the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has been the worst-performing G10 currency in August, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.08.29 19:09

USD/CNH: Heavy bias on the daily chart - OCBC

USD/CNH has extended its decline, breaking below 7.12 this morning to trade its weakest level since Nov-2024. Pair was at 7.1312 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.29 19:06

Energy: Peace deal hopes fade further - ING

Oil prices rallied after the German Chancellor Merz said it's unlikely that Presidents Zelensky and Putin will meet, providing a blow to hopes for a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia. Given the lack of progress since Putin's summit with President Trump, this isn't a big surprise.
New
update2025.08.29 19:03

Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Friday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2025.08.29 18:30

EUR/USD: Indicators are not showing a clear bias - OCBC

Euro (EUR) was better bid as political concerns somewhat faded, and USD retreated. Last at 1.1675 levels.
New
update2025.08.29 18:28

Offshore Renminbi: Setback amid tariff uncertainty - Standard Chartered

Our Renminbi internationalisation tracker fell in May-July, with most components edging down. Lingering uncertainty on US-China tariffs may have weighed on global Renminbi usage.
New
update2025.08.29 18:18

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel