Select Language

NZD/USD stalls below 0.5075 area, awaiting US GDP, PCE inflation data

Breaking news

NZD/USD stalls below 0.5075 area, awaiting US GDP, PCE inflation data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.08.28 17:48
NZD/USD stalls below 0.5075 area, awaiting US GDP, PCE inflation data

update 2025.08.28 17:48

  • New Zealand Dollar's recovery against the USD halts ahead of the top of the weekly channel, at 0.5875.
  • The Pair bounced from lows near 0.5800 amid US Dollar weakness after Fed Williams's dovish comments.
  • Investors are awaitu¡ing the release of US GDP on Thursday and the PCE Price Index on Friday.


The New Zealand Dollar is trading practically flat against the US Dollar on Thursday, looking for direction below the top of the weekly trading range, at 0.5875, with investors looking from the sidelines ahead of US GDP data today and, more importantly, the PCE Prices Index data on Friday.

The pair bounced up from levels near 0.5800 on Wednesday, favoured by generalised US Dollar weakness after the New York Fed President, John Williams, left the door open for an interest rate cut in September.

Williams said that interest rates are likely to fall at some point and that every meeting is "live" for him, comments taken by the market as a token that a September rate cut is on the table.

Traders, however, remain wary of placing directional bets ahead of key US data releases, with a special interest in Friday's PCE Prices Index, the Fed's inflation gauge of choice, that might cement hopes of monetary easing next month.

Headline inflation is forecasted to have grown at a steady 2.6% pace in July, unchanged from the previous month, while the core PCE Price Index is seen ticking up to 2.9% year-on-year, from 2.8% in June. 

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.




Date

Created

 : 2025.08.28

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.08.28

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD slips as Dollar rebounds, French protests weigh on sentiment

EUR/USD edges lower on Friday, late in the North American session, as the Greenback recovers after bouncing off three-year lows reached in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate cut.
New
update2025.09.20 05:56

Australian Dollar heads for weekly decline amid cautious Fed outlook

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with AUD/USD extending its decline for the third straight day.
New
update2025.09.20 04:21

Fed's Daly says Fed cut rates to support labor market

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary C. Daly noted late on Friday that the Fed's move to cut rates was to try and bolster a weakening labor market, noting a pointed softening of the US economy over the past year.
New
update2025.09.20 04:12

Canadian Dollar pares losses despite Retail Sales miss, bucks Greenback trend

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) shrugged off broad-market performance on Friday, chalking in a 0.15% gain against the US Dollar (USD), the second-best currency on the books for the day.
New
update2025.09.20 03:46

Gold rebounds above $3,670 as dip buyers step in despite firm US Dollar

Gold price reverses its course on Friday after printing back-to-back bearish session, rises over 0.69% despite overall US Dollar strength across the board. Buyers emerged near the lows of the week at around $3,630 and drove the non-yielding metal higher.
New
update2025.09.20 03:28

Banxico seen cutting rates to 7.50% in September - Reuters

Banco de Mexico (Banxico), Mexico's central bank is expected to reduce its main reference rate by 25 basis points to 7.50% on September 26, revealed a Reuters poll.
New
update2025.09.20 03:25

WTI extends declines as strong US Dollar and weak demand overshadow Fed rate cut

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil remains under pressure on Friday, extending its losing streak for the third straight day. The US benchmark has surrendered all the gains it notched earlier in the week and is now poised to end the week in negative territory.
New
update2025.09.20 03:24

Dow Jones Industrial Average chalks up strong weekly performance post-Fed

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) chalked in another slim but decisive gain on Friday, bringing the major equity index's weekly performance to around a full percentage point gain.
New
update2025.09.20 02:45

Stephen Miran confirms he was the 'bottom dot', insists immigration policy is deflationary

Newly minted Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors member Stephen Miran, in a stiff departure from standard Fed rhetoric policy, revealed exactly where his opinion landed in the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP).
New
update2025.09.20 01:47

Canadian Dollar firms despite weaker July Retail Sales

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/CAD snapping a two-day winning streak and trimming earlier intraday losses despite a firmer Greenback and softer Retail Sales data.
New
update2025.09.20 00:38

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel