Select Language

NZD/USD weakens below 0.5850 on dovish RBNZ cut

Breaking news

NZD/USD weakens below 0.5850 on dovish RBNZ cut

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.08.21 09:53
NZD/USD weakens below 0.5850 on dovish RBNZ cut

update 2025.08.21 09:53

  • NZD/USD softens to around 0.5825 in Thursday's early Asian session.
  • Fed Minutes showed most officials saw inflation as a greater risk.
  • RBNZ cut its benchmark cash rate by 25 bps to a three-year low of 3.0% on Wednesday.

The NZD/USD pair loses ground near 0.5815 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a rate cut and left the door open for further moves lower. Traders await the preliminary reading of the US S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports for August, which are due later on Thursday. 

The minutes from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) July 29-30 meeting showed that almost all participants at the Fed viewed it as appropriate to maintain the benchmark interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range. Policymakers noted that it would take time to have more clarity on the magnitude and persistence of higher tariffs' effects on inflation. 

Most Fed officials also emphasized inflation risks as outweighing concerns over the labor market at their meeting last month. Investors brace for the Fed's annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday to see whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell will push back against market expectations for a rate cut at the September meeting. 

Any surprise dovish remarks from Fed officials could undermine the Greenback and create a tailwind for the pair. Fed funds futures traders are currently pricing in an 83% chance of a cut next month and 54 basis points (bps) of cuts by year-end, according to the CME FedWatch tool. 

As widely expected, the RBNZ cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 bps to a three-year low of 3.0% at its August meeting on Wednesday. The New Zealand central bank noted the economy had stalled in the past few months, with households and businesses cautious due to rising prices, a soft labor market, and global uncertainty.

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) said there is scope to lower the OCR further, which might weigh on the Kiwi against the USD. RBNZ governor Christian Hawkesby said that further data on New Zealand's economic recovery will determine the RBNZ's next steps.

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.


Date

Created

 : 2025.08.21

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.08.21

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD holds loses around 1.1650 ahead of Eurozone PMI data

EUR/USD edges lower after registering slight gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1640 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The Euro (EUR) depreciates against the US Dollar (USD) ahead of HCOB Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from Germany and the Eurozone.
New
update2025.08.21 12:06

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD gains ground above $37.50 on Fed rate cut hopes

The Silver price (XAG/USD) gains traction to near $37.85 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The white metal receives support from the expectation of a US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in the September meeting.
New
update2025.08.21 11:26

Australian Dollar holds steady after improved S&P Global PMI data

The Australian Dollar (AUD) depreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, extending its losses for the fourth successive day. The AUD/USD pair remains subdued despite the release of the improved preliminary data of S&P Global Australia's Purchasing Managers Index (PMI).
New
update2025.08.21 11:15

USD/JPY climbs closer to mid-147.00s; lacks bullish conviction amid BoJ-Fed divergence

The USD/JPY pair is building on the overnight modest rebound from the 146.85 region, or the weekly trough, and gaining some positive traction during the Asian session on Thursday.
New
update2025.08.21 11:04

US Dollar Index posts modest gains above 98.00 ahead of US PMI releases

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades in positive territory near 98.30 during the Asian session on Thursday.
New
update2025.08.21 10:50

NZD/USD weakens below 0.5850 on dovish RBNZ cut

The NZD/USD pair loses ground near 0.5815 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a rate cut and left the door open for further moves lower.
New
update2025.08.21 09:52

WTI rebounds above $62.50 as US crude inventories fall more than expected

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $62.80 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The WTI edges higher as US crude oil inventories fall more than expected.
New
update2025.08.21 09:13

GBP/USD extends backslide into a third straight day

GBP/USD took another leg lower on Tuesday, falling around three-tenths of one percent and skidding into key moving averages.
New
update2025.08.21 09:04

USD/CAD holds steady above 1.3850 amid rising odds of BoC rate cut

The USD/CAD pair trades flat near 1.3870 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) steadies against the US Dollar (USD) near an earlier three-month low as the latest Canadian inflation data raised odds that the Bank of Canada (BoC) would resume its easing campaign.
New
update2025.08.21 08:24

Fed's Cook intends to fight allegations by Trump team

Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governor member Lisa Cook responded late Wednesday to accusations from people within the Trump administration, including President Trump himself, who accused the Fed policymaker of violating financial regulations around mortgage filings.
New
update2025.08.21 08:21

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel