Select Language

EUR/GBP holds below 0.8750, all eyes on BoE rate decision

Breaking news

EUR/GBP holds below 0.8750, all eyes on BoE rate decision

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.08.07 15:13
EUR/GBP holds below 0.8750, all eyes on BoE rate decision

update 2025.08.07 15:13

  • EUR/GBP trades with mild losses around 0.8730 in Thursday's early European session. 
  • German Industrial Production dropsped 1.9% MoM in June, weaker than expected. 
  • The BoE is expected to cut rates at its August meeting on Thursday. 

The EUR/GBP cross trades on a negative note near 0.8730 during the early European session on Thursday. The Euro (EUR) remains weak against the Pound Sterling (GBP) after the German Industrial Production data. All eyes will be on the Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision later on Thursday. 

Data released by the Federal Statistics Office of Germany on Thursday showed that the country's Industrial Production declined 1.9% MoM in June, compared to -0.1% (revised from 1.2%) in May. This figure came in below the market consensus of -0.5%. On an annual basis, German Industrial Production fell 3.6% in June versus -0.2% (revised from 1.0%) prior. The Euro remained unfazed in an immediate reaction to the downbeat German industrial Production data. 

The European Union (EU) announced Monday that it will pause for six months its planned countermeasures against the US tariffs, which were set to take effect this week. However, the outcome of the EU and the US trade talks remains uncertain. 

US President Donald Trump warned that a controversial investment pledge forming part of the EU-US trade deal will need to be honored by the EU, or 35% blanket tariffs will be applied to the bloc. Renewed trade tensions between the two countries could exert some selling pressure on the shared currency in the near term.

The BoE is expected to lower its base rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.00% at its August Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, which will be the third cut of 2025. Financial markets have priced in more than 80% odds of BoE rate cuts at the August meeting and are penciling in a further quarter-point reduction before the end of the year, according to Reuters. 

Traders will closely monitor the BoE's Governor Andrew Bailey speech after the monetary policy meeting, as it might offer some hints about the UK interest rate outlook. Any dovish remarks from the BoE policymakers could weigh on the GBP and act as a tailwind for the cross. 

BoE FAQs

The Bank of England (BoE) decides monetary policy for the United Kingdom. Its primary goal is to achieve 'price stability', or a steady inflation rate of 2%. Its tool for achieving this is via the adjustment of base lending rates. The BoE sets the rate at which it lends to commercial banks and banks lend to each other, determining the level of interest rates in the economy overall. This also impacts the value of the Pound Sterling (GBP).

When inflation is above the Bank of England's target it responds by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is positive for the Pound Sterling because higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls below target, it is a sign economic growth is slowing, and the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit in the hope businesses will borrow to invest in growth-generating projects - a negative for the Pound Sterling.

In extreme situations, the Bank of England can enact a policy called Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the BoE substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. QE is a last resort policy when lowering interest rates will not achieve the necessary result. The process of QE involves the BoE printing money to buy assets - usually government or AAA-rated corporate bonds - from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Pound Sterling.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE, enacted when the economy is strengthening and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the Bank of England (BoE) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to encourage them to lend; in QT, the BoE stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive for the Pound Sterling.


Date

Created

 : 2025.08.07

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.08.07

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

GBP/USD: Clear break above 1.3385 is unlikely - UOB Group

Overbought advance in Pound Sterling (GBP) could extend against US Dollar (USD), but a clear break above 1.3385 is unlikely. In the longer run, GBP has likely entered a 1.3285/1.3425 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.08.07 18:39

USD/CHF wavers around 0.8060 with US Jobless Claims on focus

The Swiss Franc and the US Dollar are the worst-performing currencies amid the risk-on mood on Thursday, which leaves the USD/CHF pair treading water around 0.8060, awaiting US weekly claims data for further fundamental guidance.The Greenback seems to have found some support at the 0.8040 area follo
New
update2025.08.07 18:38

DXY: Some consolidation expected in the interim - OCBC

US Dollar (USD) extended its slippage overnight. Fedspeaks this week from officials, including Lisa Cook, Kashkari and Mary Daly have also been on a slightly dovish tilt, adding to USD softness. DXY was last at 98.10, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.07 18:34

Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2025.08.07 18:30

Japanese official: Bank of Japan may be behind the curve vs. inflation

A private-sector member of the Japanese government's Economic Council said on Thursday that he is "worried that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may be behind the curve vs. inflation, which is already affecting people's livelihood," per Reuters.
New
update2025.08.07 18:23

USD: Things moving fast on tariffs, geopolitics and Fed - ING

Developments this week are unfolding rapidly across three key areas: tariffs, geopolitics, and the Federal Reserve. The first two are somewhat interconnected when it comes to India, which has faced a tariff hike to 50% in response to its economic ties with Russia.
New
update2025.08.07 18:20

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Hovers around 172.00, support appears at nine-day EMA

EUR/JPY holds ground after registering gains in the previous two consecutive sessions, trading around 171.90 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the ongoing neutral market bias as the currency cross remains within the rectangular pattern.
New
update2025.08.07 18:09

EUR/USD: Likely to trade with an upward bias - UOB Group

There is a chance for EUR to test 1.1685; a sustained rise above this level appears unlikely. In the longer run, Euro (EUR) is likely to trade with an upward bias; it is unclear for now if it can reach 1.1720, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.08.07 17:46

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD is testing resistance at $38.30

Silver (XAG/USD) is heading higher on Thursday, favoured by a weaker US Dollar, as market concerns about the US economic outlook and higher hopes of Fed rate cuts are weighing heavily on the US Dollar.The US Dollar Index, which measures the Greenback against a basket of the most traded currencies, h
New
update2025.08.07 17:43

GBP: Widely expected cut today - ING

The Bank of England is widely expected to continue its recent pattern of quarterly cuts and reduce the Bank rate by 25 basis points to 4.0% today. Here is our full guide to today's meeting, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.08.07 17:42

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel