Select Language

EUR/GBP holds positive ground above 0.8600 as traders await Eurozone HICP release

Breaking news

EUR/GBP holds positive ground above 0.8600 as traders await Eurozone HICP release

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.07.31 15:55
EUR/GBP holds positive ground above 0.8600 as traders await Eurozone HICP release

update 2025.07.31 15:55

  • EUR/GBP trades firmer to near 0.8620 in Thursday's early European session. 
  • A slew of weaker UK data is likely to cement the case for the BoE to cut interest rates in August in a bid to boost the economy.
  • The Eurozone GDP grew 0.1% QoQ in Q2, stronger than expected. 

The EUR/GBP cross trades on a stronger note around 0.8620 during the early European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) edges lower against the Euro (EUR) as traders remain confident that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates next month after a slew of weaker UK economic data. 

Last month, the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted six to three to keep rates unchanged at 4.25%, following a quarter-point reduction in May. Analysts expect the UK central bank to deliver a rate cut in its August meeting due to cooling labor market conditions and elevated inflationary pressures in the United Kingdom (UK). This, in turn, might continue to weigh on the GBP and act as a tailwind for the cross in the near term.

Additionally, the BoE is expected to slow quantitative tightening, at which it shrinks its 558 billion-pound ($754 billion) holdings of government bonds, and economists hope next week will shed some light on its longer-term goals for the stockpile, per Reuters. 

The Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in stronger than expected in the second quarter (Q2), Eurostat reported on Wednesday. The Eurozone economy grew 0.1% QoQ in Q2 versus 0.6% prior, above the consensus of 0%. On an annual basis, the Eurozone GDP expanded 1.4% in Q2, compared to 1.5% in Q1, better than the forecasts of 1.2%. 

The upbeat GDP data indicated that businesses are adapting to trade uncertainty, potentially reducing the need for more European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate cuts to stimulate the bloc, which provides some support to the shared currency. 

Traders will take more cues from the preliminary reading of Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for July, which are due later on Friday. HICP figures are expected to have grown moderately. However, any surprise downside of the reading could drag the Euro lower against the GBP. 

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.31

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.31

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

US President Trump: Open to tariff discussions with Canada

Speaking to NBC News on Thursday, US President Donald Trump said, "I'm open to discussions" with Canada.
New
update2025.08.01 12:22

WTI remains subdued below $69.00 amid potential impact of upcoming US tariffs on economy

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $68.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
New
update2025.08.01 12:18

Japanese Yen refreshes multi-month low against USD; seems vulnerable ahead of US NFP

The Japanese Yen (JPY) touches a fresh four-month low against its American counterpart during the Asian session on Friday and seems vulnerable to weaken further.
New
update2025.08.01 11:49

NZD/USD extends the decline to below 0.5900 on downbeat Chinese PMI data, renewed trade tensions

The NZD/USD pair extends its downside to around 0.5880 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) softens against the US Dollar (USD) amid escalating trade tension between the United States (US) and China. 
New
update2025.08.01 11:27

Australian Dollar loses ground following China's dismal PMI

The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges lower on Friday, continuing its seven-day losing streak. The AUD/USD pair remains steady following the release of economic figures from Australia and its close trading partner, China.
New
update2025.08.01 11:17

China pauses US-bound corporate investment amid escalating trade tensions - Nikkei

During trade talks between the world's two biggest economies, China has halted outbound investments for firms seeking to establish or expand operations in the United States (US), Nikkei Asia reported on Friday.
New
update2025.08.01 11:07

China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI declines to 49.5 in July vs. 50.3 expected

China's Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) eased to 49.5 in July from 50.4 in June, according to the latest data released on Friday.
New
update2025.08.01 10:46

Japan's Kato says he is alarmed over FX trend, driven by speculative move

Japanese Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa on Friday alarmed over the foreign exchange (FX) moves, including those driven by speculators. Akazawa further stated that he will need to closely monitor the impact of US tariffs on exports.  
New
update2025.08.01 10:31

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1496 vs. 7.1494 previous

On Friday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1496 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1494 and 7.2033 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.08.01 10:15

Japan's Akazawa urges caution on interest rates, calls for US tariff relief

Japanese Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said on Friday that the government acknowledges the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to hold interest rates steady at its July meeting on Thursday.
New
update2025.08.01 10:13

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel