Select Language

Forex Today: US Dollar consolidates Fed-inspired gains, key data incoming

Breaking news

Forex Today: US Dollar consolidates Fed-inspired gains, key data incoming

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.07.31 15:31
Forex Today: US Dollar consolidates Fed-inspired gains, key data incoming

update 2025.07.31 15:31

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 31:

The US Dollar (USD) corrects lower after gathering strength against its rivals on Wednesday, supported by strong data releases and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious tone on policy-easing. The European economic calendar will feature preliminary July inflation data from Germany and the Eurozone Unemployment Rate for June. In the second half of the day, weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

US Dollar PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Euro.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 2.66% 1.15% 0.65% 0.76% 1.54% 1.32% 1.79%
EUR -2.66% -1.49% -1.91% -1.85% -1.09% -1.30% -0.85%
GBP -1.15% 1.49% -0.61% -0.36% 0.41% 0.20% 0.65%
JPY -0.65% 1.91% 0.61% 0.12% 0.85% 0.65% 1.28%
CAD -0.76% 1.85% 0.36% -0.12% 0.75% 0.56% 1.01%
AUD -1.54% 1.09% -0.41% -0.85% -0.75% -0.21% 0.22%
NZD -1.32% 1.30% -0.20% -0.65% -0.56% 0.21% 0.45%
CHF -1.79% 0.85% -0.65% -1.28% -1.01% -0.22% -0.45%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

The USD Index gained 1% on Wednesday and reached its highest level in two months near 100.00. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis' first estimate showed that the United States' (US) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 3% in the second quarter. This reading followed the 0.5% contraction reported in the first quarter and beat the market expectation for an expansion of 2.4%. Additionally, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) announced that employment in the private sector rose by 104,000 in July, surpassing analysts' estimate of 78,000.

Later in the day, the Fed left the policy rate unchanged at the range of 4.25%-4.5%, as expected. The policy statement showed that Governor Christopher Waller and Governor Michelle Bowman voted in favor of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut. In the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell refrained from confirming a rate cut in September, citing the uncertainty surrounding the inflation outlook. Additionally, Powell acknowledged that the current policy was still modestly restrictive but added that it was not holding back the economy.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced on Thursday that it maintained the short-term interest rate target in the range of 0.40%- 0.50%, as anticipated. The BoJ repeated in the policy statement that there is a high uncertainty surrounding trade policy developments and their impact on the economy, adding that they will continue to raise the policy rate if the economy, prices move in line with their forecasts. After climbing to its highest level since early April above 149.50 late Wednesday, USD/JPY corrects lower and trades below 149.00 in the European session on Thursday.

USD/CAD rose about 0.5% on Wednesday and closed the fifth consecutive day in positive territory. The Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate steady at 2.75% and BoC Governor Tiff Macklem said that they are going to make sure that a tariff problem doesn't become an inflation problem. Early Thursday, USD/CAD edges lower but manages to hold above 1.3800.

EUR/USD lost more than 1% on Wednesday and tested 1.1400. The pair stages a rebound in the European morning and trades in positive territory near 1.1450.

Following a short-lasting rebound early Wednesday, Gold turned south in the second half of the day and dropped to a fresh monthly low below $3,270, pressured by rising US Treasury bond yields. XAU/USD gathers recovery momentum in the European session on Thursday and trades slightly above $3,300.

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed's 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials - the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed's weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.31

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.31

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

US President Trump: Open to tariff discussions with Canada

Speaking to NBC News on Thursday, US President Donald Trump said, "I'm open to discussions" with Canada.
New
update2025.08.01 12:22

WTI remains subdued below $69.00 amid potential impact of upcoming US tariffs on economy

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $68.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
New
update2025.08.01 12:18

Japanese Yen refreshes multi-month low against USD; seems vulnerable ahead of US NFP

The Japanese Yen (JPY) touches a fresh four-month low against its American counterpart during the Asian session on Friday and seems vulnerable to weaken further.
New
update2025.08.01 11:49

NZD/USD extends the decline to below 0.5900 on downbeat Chinese PMI data, renewed trade tensions

The NZD/USD pair extends its downside to around 0.5880 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) softens against the US Dollar (USD) amid escalating trade tension between the United States (US) and China. 
New
update2025.08.01 11:27

Australian Dollar loses ground following China's dismal PMI

The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges lower on Friday, continuing its seven-day losing streak. The AUD/USD pair remains steady following the release of economic figures from Australia and its close trading partner, China.
New
update2025.08.01 11:17

China pauses US-bound corporate investment amid escalating trade tensions - Nikkei

During trade talks between the world's two biggest economies, China has halted outbound investments for firms seeking to establish or expand operations in the United States (US), Nikkei Asia reported on Friday.
New
update2025.08.01 11:07

China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI declines to 49.5 in July vs. 50.3 expected

China's Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) eased to 49.5 in July from 50.4 in June, according to the latest data released on Friday.
New
update2025.08.01 10:46

Japan's Kato says he is alarmed over FX trend, driven by speculative move

Japanese Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa on Friday alarmed over the foreign exchange (FX) moves, including those driven by speculators. Akazawa further stated that he will need to closely monitor the impact of US tariffs on exports.  
New
update2025.08.01 10:31

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1496 vs. 7.1494 previous

On Friday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1496 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1494 and 7.2033 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.08.01 10:15

Japan's Akazawa urges caution on interest rates, calls for US tariff relief

Japanese Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said on Friday that the government acknowledges the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to hold interest rates steady at its July meeting on Thursday.
New
update2025.08.01 10:13

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel