Select Language

CAD: Dovish risks today - ING

Breaking news

CAD: Dovish risks today - ING

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.07.30 17:38
CAD: Dovish risks today - ING

update 2025.07.30 17:38

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has dropped less than other G10 currencies during this round of US Dollar (USD) appreciation. For the moment, domestic factors aren't playing much of a role, and markets remain quite conservative on Bank of Canada rate cuts, pricing in only 15bp by year-end, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

Today's BoC meeting to generate some dovish repricing

"As the BoC announces policy today, the chances of a cut appear quite low, but the risks in our view are tilted to the dovish side. The BoC Business Outlook shows limited pass-through from tariffs to Canadian consumers but signs of slower hiring, investment and consumer demand."

"Then, there is the crucial point of US-Canada trade negotiations. From what has been reported, both Canadian and US officials think progress has been lackluster. And while we know that the market's baseline expectation is that trade deals will ultimately be agreed, the EU experience (and its spillover into EUR/USD) suggests the conditions of those deals aren't secondary for the FX impact."

"Given how conservative BoC pricing is and economic/trade risks, we expect today's BoC meeting to generate some dovish repricing and add pressure on CAD. We continue to target 1.39 this quarter for USD/CAD."


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.30

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.30

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Banxico Minutes show split vote, further cuts lie ahead

Banco de Mexico (Banxico) revealed the minutes of the August 7 monetary policy meeting, in which the central bank decided to reduce rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 7.75% on a vote split, with Deputy Governor Jonathan Heath in favor of keeping rates unchanged.
New
update2025.08.22 01:00

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD climbs for second day, eyes breakout above triangle barrier

Silver (XAG/USD) extends its rebound for a second consecutive day on Thursday, although upside could be limited by a stronger US Dollar (USD) and firm Treasury yields.
New
update2025.08.22 00:45

GBP/JPY climbs as strong UK Services PMI lifts Pound

The GBP/JPY advanced during the North American session, up 0.34% after following the release of solid economic data from Britain that outweighed solid Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures in Japan. The cross-pair trades at 198.91 after bouncing off daily lows of 198.12.
New
update2025.08.22 00:38

EU: What's required for capital markets union? - Standard Chartered

The lack of integrated capital markets in the EU is holding back innovation and productivity growth. Despite a renewed push by the European Commission, significant operational barriers to CMU persist. Factors such as incomplete banking union and political disagreements create further headwinds.
New
update2025.08.22 00:20

Fed's Hammack: Unclear if tariffs will ultimately be one-time impact

Beth Hammack, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, struck a hawkish tone in remarks on Thursday, stressing the need to keep inflation in check. She warned that tariff impacts are only beginning to show in the economy and may intensify next year.
New
update2025.08.22 00:16

Australian Dollar Price Forecast: The 200-day SMA emerges on the horizon

The Australian Dollar (AUD) stayed under pressure on Thursday, with AUD/USD slipping toward two-month lows near the 0.6400 support. It was the pair's fourth straight daily decline, this time amid a solid performance of the US Dollar (USD).
New
update2025.08.21 23:58

GBP/USD extends losing streak as strong US PMI fuels Dollar strength, Jackson Hole in focus

The British Pound (GBP) extends its decline for the fourth consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with GBP/USD slipping below the 1.3450 level. At the time of writing, the pair is trading near 1.3435, weighed down by a stronger Greenback and diverging economic signals.
New
update2025.08.21 23:11

EUR/USD holds ground around 1.1650 as markets eye US PMI release

The Euro (EUR) is trading with a muted tone against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, holding steady around 1.1650 as markets digest the latest US labor data and await fresh business activity figures.
New
update2025.08.21 22:31

EUR/GBP steady above 0.8650 as traders weigh US-EU deal and PMI data

The Euro (EUR) is holding steady against the British Pound (GBP) on Thursday, consolidating gains after Wednesday's sharp rebound.
New
update2025.08.21 21:50

US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 235K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 235K for the week ending August 16.
New
update2025.08.21 21:35

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel