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Gold price languishes near multi-week low as focus shifts to FOMC policy meeting

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Gold price languishes near multi-week low as focus shifts to FOMC policy meeting

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update 2025.07.29 13:33
Gold price languishes near multi-week low as focus shifts to FOMC policy meeting

update 2025.07.29 13:33

  • Gold price consolidates its recent sharp decline to a multi-week low touched on Monday.
  • The USD preserves its recent strong gains and acts as a headwind for the precious metal.
  • Traders now seem reluctant and opt to wait for the crucial FOMC decision on Wednesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to attract any meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Tuesday and remains within striking distance of a nearly three-week low, around the $3,300 neighborhood, touched the previous day. The US Dollar (USD) bulls pause for a breather following the overnight blowout rally and ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC policy meeting starting later today. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the precious metal.

Any meaningful USD fall, however, seems elusive in the wake of the growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates elevated for longer. This, along with the latest trade optimism, could act as a headwind for the non-yielding Gold price and warrants caution for bulls heading into the key central bank event risk. Investors this week will also confront important US macro releases, which should provide a fresh impetus to the XAU/USD pair.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price struggles to lure buyers amid trade optimism, bullish USD

  • A trade agreement between the US and European Union over the weekend added to the optimism led by the US-Japan deal and eased fears about a global trade war. Adding to this, top US and Chinese officials - including US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng -  will resume talks on Tuesday to resolve longstanding economic disputes and extend a truce for three months.
  • The US Dollar jumped the most since early May on Monday, putting it on track for a nearly 1.5% rise in July and the first monthly gains this year. This, in turn, dragged the Gold price lower for the fourth consecutive day to its lowest level in three weeks. The USD bulls, however, take a brief pause and opt to wait for more cues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cut path before placing fresh bets.
  • Hence, the focus will remain glued to the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting, starting this Tuesday. The US central bank is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. Hence, the accompanying statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at the post-meeting press conference will be scrutinized closely for fresh insight about the central bank's policy outlook.
  • Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump set a new deadline of 10 or 12 days for Russia to make progress towards ending the war in Ukraine. Trump warned of severe sanctions if Russia failed to act and said that his administration would impose 100% secondary tariffs on countries continuing to buy Russian exports. This keeps geopolitical risks in play and supports the safe-haven XAU/USD pair.
  • Traders now look forward to Tuesday's US economic docket - featuring the release of JOLTS Job Openings and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index later during the North American session. The data might influence the USD, which, along with trade-related developments and the broader risk sentiment, should provide some impetus to the commodity and produce short-term opportunities.

Gold price bears now await break below $3,300 before positioning for deeper losses

From a technical perspective, the recent repeated failures near the $3,434-3,435 region constituted the formation of a multiple tops on the daily chart. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction and back the case for a further depreciating move for the Gold price. Some follow-through selling below the $3,300 round figure will reaffirm the negative bias and make the XAU/USD pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards the $3,260-3,255 horizontal support. The said area coincides with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and should act as a key pivotal point, which, if broken decisively, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt might now confront an immediate hurdle near the $3,340 area, above which the Gold price could climb to the $3,367-3,368 region. A sustained strength beyond the latter might trigger a short-covering rally and allow the XAU/USD pair to reclaim the $3,400 round figure. The positive momentum could extend further, though it is more likely to remain capped near the $3,434-3,435 strong barrier. A sustained strength above, however, would negate any near-term negative bias and pave the way for a move towards challenging the all-time peak, around the $3,500 psychological mark touched in April.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.29

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