Select Language

EUR/USD holds ground as EU spared from tariffs, Trump urges Fed cuts and delays deadline

Breaking news

EUR/USD holds ground as EU spared from tariffs, Trump urges Fed cuts and delays deadline

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.07.09 06:53
EUR/USD holds ground as EU spared from tariffs, Trump urges Fed cuts and delays deadline

update 2025.07.09 06:53

  • EUR/USD steadies near 1.1725 support as EU is spared from new US tariff measures for now.
  • Trump urges Fed to cut rates, delays tariff deadline to August 1.
  • Risk appetite fades as US mulls tariffs on tech and pharma sectors.

EUR/USD registers minimal gains during the North American session as the US dollar erases some of its earlier gains, following US President Donald Trump's demand that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, as he delays the July 9 deadline towards August 1. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1724, up 0.14%.

Risk appetite turned sour late in the day, amid uncertainty about trade policies. The US Commerce Secretary, Howard Lutnick, said that he expects another 15-20 letters to go out over the next few days, according to an interview with CNBC. In the meantime, Trump's threats to broaden tariffs to pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and copper weighed on investors' mood.

Data-wise, the US economic docket revealed that small business confidence edged lower, according to a survey of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

The shared currency halted Monday's losses as the White House didn't target the European Union (EU) with additional tariffs. Recently, Trump acknowledged that talks between the US and Europe are progressing, adding that the EU has been "very nice" with the US.

Meanwhile, the US economic docket remains absent, with traders eyeing the release of June's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. In the EU, a flurry of officials from the European Central Bank (ECB) will cross the wires, led by Vice President Luis de Guindos, Chief Economist Philip Lane, and Joachim Nagel.

Daily digest market movers: Euro recovers as Trump said August 1 deadline is definitive

  • The strength of the Greenback pressures the EUR/USD. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck's value against a basket of six currencies, finished Tuesday's session flat at 97.51.
  • US President Donald Trump posted that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell should cut rates now, after saying he should resign immediately earlier in the day. He pushes the July 9 deadline to August 1, although he said he would not extend it. Regarding the European Union (EU), he said the EU is treating the US very nicely, that's why he refrained from sending the tariffs letter.
  • Trump added that he could have been harsher on trade and announced that he would impose duties on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and copper, which he said would result in tariffs of around 50%.
  • The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index edged down to 98.6 in June, slightly below expectations of 98.7 and a decline from May's reading of 98.8. The decrease was primarily driven by an increase in the number of respondents citing excessive inventories.
  • The EU stated that there has been some progress on a framework trade deal with the United States (US), according to EU spokesman Olof Gill. He indicated that Ursula Von der Leyen held a call with Trump on Sunday, saying that "They had a good exchange."

Euro technical outlook: EUR/USD clings to 1.1700 as the pair consolidates

From a technical perspective, the pair is neutral, with well-defined support and resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), although bullish, has turned flat, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers are in control.

For a bullish continuation, the EUR/USD must clear the July 7 high of 1.1789 before buyers set their sights on 1.1800. Key resistance lies overhead with the year-to-date (YTD) high of 1.1829.

Conversely, if EUR/USD tumbles below 1.1700, this will expose the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as the first support level at 1.1649. A breach of the latter will expose the 1.1600 figure, followed by the 50-day SMA at 1.1448.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.07.09

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.07.09

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD net shorts rise amid payroll miss - Rabobank

USD net short positions have increased for the first time in four weeks, driven by a decrease in long positions. EUR net long positions have decreased for the second week in a row, driven by an increase in short positions.
New
update2025.08.04 23:32

BoE: Quarterly bound - Standard Chartered

BoE to cut the base rate by 25bps on 7 August, but another split MPC is likely. Divergent signals from the labour market and prices likely to keep the BoE on a quarterly easing schedule.
New
update2025.08.04 23:07

Eurozone services disinflation continues - ABN AMRO

Headline HICP inflation surprised modestly to the upside in July, holding steady at the ECB's 2% target, against our and consensus expectations for a move lower to 1.9%, ABN AMRO's economist Bill Diviney reports.
New
update2025.08.04 22:44

EUR/GBP dips as traders reposition ahead of BoE interest rate decision

The Euro (EUR) edges lower against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, with the Pound trading on a firmer footing across the board, as traders reposition ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) monetary policy decision due Thursday, August 7.
New
update2025.08.04 22:31

Gold steadies as US Dollar stabilizes, dovish Fed bets rise after soft NFP report

Gold (XAU/USD) kicks off the week on a cautious note, trading flat on Monday, as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes in the aftermath of Friday's disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
New
update2025.08.04 21:20

USD/CNH: Any decline might not be able to reach 7.1750 - UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could edge lower against Chinese Yen (CNH), but any decline might not be able to reach 7.1750. In the longer run, USD appears to have moved into a 7.1600/7.2240 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.08.04 20:59

USD/JPY: Sharp drop in USD has scope to extend - UOB Group

Further US Dollar (USD) weakness seems likely against Japanese Yen (JPY); it remains to be seen whether it can reach 146.60. In the longer run, sharp drop in USD has scope to extend, but any decline may not break below 145.80, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.08.04 20:55

USD/CAD remains pinned below 1.3800 with hopes of Fed cuts limiting upside attempts

The Canadian Dollar keeps most of the ground it gained on Friday as the US Dollar Index fell about 0.8% as US employment data revealed that job growth increased much less than expected, and data from previous months was revised sharply lower.July's US Nonfarm Payrolls report crushed the view of a re
New
update2025.08.04 20:52

NZD/USD: Any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.5885/0.5935 - UOB Group

Scope for New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to rise further, but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.5885/0.5935. In the longer run, slowdown in momentum indicates that the odds of NZD reaching 0.5845 are low, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.08.04 20:45

China: Playbook to reflate the economy - Standard Chartered

Protracted price decline in China has increased the risk of deflation mindset becoming entrenched. Policy makers have stepped up efforts to expand effective demand; zero rate and QE not on the agenda.
New
update2025.08.04 20:42

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel