Created
: 2025.07.01
2025.07.01 19:51
The Pound is accelerating its uptrend on Tuesday, unaffected by rather downbeat UK manufacturing PMI data. US Dollar weakness is driving markets today with tariff uncertainty, renewed concerns about the US fiscal health, and rising bets on Fed cuts crushing demand for the US Dollar.
UK manufacturing activity has remained steady at 47.7 in June, but new orders, employmen,t and output declined from the previous month and pointing to further contraction in the coming months.
These figures, however, have failed to curb Sterling's rally. The GBP/USD appreciates nearly 0.4% so far today after having reached its highest levels since October 2021, at 1.3790.
In the US, mounting concerns about the impact of Trump's "Big, beautiful bill" on the country's fiscal health are weighing on the USD as the bill goes through a lengthy voting process in the Senate.
Beyond that, Trump continued attacking Fed Chair Powell, calling for much lower interest rates and boosting hopes that the bank will ease its monetary policy between two and three times in the second half of the year. Later today, Powell will speak at a central bankers' summit in Sintra and might provide further insight into the bank´s monetary policy plans.
The FX Strategy team at the UOB group sees the GBP/USD in a bullish trend, with major technical resistance at 1.3800: "We turned positive on GBP last Thursday. On Friday, we highlighted that 'the outlook for GBP remains positive, but it may consolidate for a couple of days first; the next technical objective is 1.3800.' We will maintain this view as long as the 'strong support' at 1.3645 (level previously at 1.3610) is not breached."
,
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the UK's manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Pound Sterling (GBP). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for GBP.
Read more.Last release: Tue Jul 01, 2025 08:30
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 47.7
Consensus: 47.7
Previous: 47.7
Source: S&P Global
4-year
Created
: 2025.07.01
Last updated
: 2025.07.01
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy