Select Language

EUR/GBP rises above 0.8500 as Israel-Hamas tensions ease

Breaking news

EUR/GBP rises above 0.8500 as Israel-Hamas tensions ease

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2025.06.16 17:51
EUR/GBP rises above 0.8500 as Israel-Hamas tensions ease

update 2025.06.16 17:51

  • EUR/GBP appreciates due to improved risk sentiment, driven by potential for temporary ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
  • Israel has submitted revised proposal in hostage negotiations with Hamas, suggesting a possible ceasefire.
  • The BoE is expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25% on Thursday.

EUR/GBP gains ground after registering little losses in the previous session, trading around 0.8530 during the European hours on Monday. The currency cross receives support as the Euro (EUR) appreciates against its peers due to improved risk sentiment, driven by Israel's submission of revised proposal in hostage negotiations with Hamas, which could lead to a temporary ceasefire.

The Euro (EUR) also receives support as traders expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to pause its easing cycle to assess the impact of new US tariffs. The ECB vice-president Luis de Guindos said that the Eurozone's economy had proven resilient but faced a number of risks, such as tariffs, that could curb growth.

UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be eyed on Wednesday, with market expectations of prices growing at a moderate pace in May. Traders expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25% at its policy meeting on Thursday.

However, the risk-sensitive Euro may face challenges due to rising geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. Both countries continue attacking each other despite international calls for diplomacy and de-escalation. Iran fired multiple missiles targeting Israeli military-industrial centers and fuel facilities.

Iran informed mediators Qatar and Oman that it will not enter negotiations while under attack. A source denied reports that Tehran had approached Oman and Qatar with a request to engage the United States (US) to broker a ceasefire with Israel.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms "risk-on" and "risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a "risk-on" market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a "risk-off" market investors start to 'play it safe' because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of "risk-on", stock markets will rise, most commodities - except Gold - will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a "risk-off" market, Bonds go up - especially major government Bonds - Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are "risk-on". This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of "risk-off" are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world's reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them - even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.


Date

Created

 : 2025.06.16

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.06.16

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/CHF weakens near multi-week range low as ECB flags broader global risks

The Euro (EUR) weakens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Wednesday, with EUR/CHF trading near the lower boundary of its multi-week range around 0.9318. The cross remains under pressure following fresh comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials that added to the cautious mood around the Euro.
New
update2025.07.10 00:35

EUR/GBP declines as Pound strengthens on UK-US trade deal, EU faces higher tariffs

The EUR/GBP tumbles during the North American session, down by a 0.18% as risk appetite improved due to most US equity indices registering gains as traders brace for the release of the latest Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting minutes. At the time of writing, the cross trades at 0.8622.
New
update2025.07.10 00:25

President Trump: Our Fed rate is at least 3 points too high

Another round of the White House-Federal Reserve dispute saw President Donald Trump urge the Fed to decrease its interest rate by a minimum of 3 percentage points, reiterating his request for the bank to lower rates to alleviate the cost of servicing the nation's debt.
New
update2025.07.09 23:52

EUR/USD stalls ahead of Fed Minutes and major US Treasury auction

The Euro (EUR) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as investors turn cautious ahead of key US economic events.
New
update2025.07.09 23:45

British Pound flattens against US Dollar amid BoE warnings on global financial risks

The British Pound (GBP) flattens against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, halting its three-day losing streak despite a steady Greenback as traders react to the Bank of England's (BoE) latest Financial Stability Report.
New
update2025.07.09 23:25

Fed Minutes to offer clues on next rate cuts amid tariff turmoil

The Minutes of the United States (US) Federal Reserve's (Fed) June 17-18 monetary policy meeting will be published on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT.
New
update2025.07.09 22:15

EUR/JPY retreats from YTD high amid trade tensions and overbought signals

The Euro (EUR) is slipping against the Japanese Yen (JPY), easing from its recent year-to-date high of 172.28 reached on Wednesday amid fresh concerns over potential US tariffs targeting Japan.
New
update2025.07.09 22:13

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD marks third daily decline, pressured by firm US Dollar

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading near $36.40 on Wednesday, marking its third consecutive daily decline, as a stronger US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields continue to pressure precious metals.
New
update2025.07.09 21:48

JPY flat w/ overnight recovery mirroring spreads - Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is entering Wednesday's NA session unchanged against the US Dollar (USD) with an impressive recovery from overnight losses that seemed to primarily reflect movement in the US Treasury market, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
New
update2025.07.09 21:10

GBP quiet ahead of data highlights later in week - Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is entering Wednesday's NA session unchanged vs. the US Dollar (USD), with limited overnight movement reflecting the absence of any major data releases, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
New
update2025.07.09 21:07

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel