Select Language

EUR/USD drops below 1.1250 as US Dollar appreciates ahead of Q1 GDP Annualized

Breaking news

EUR/USD drops below 1.1250 as US Dollar appreciates ahead of Q1 GDP Annualized

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.29 11:54
EUR/USD drops below 1.1250 as US Dollar appreciates ahead of Q1 GDP Annualized

update 2025.05.29 11:54

  • EUR/USD remains subdued as the US Dollar advances after a federal court halted Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs from taking effect.
  • US Gross Domestic Product Annualized is expected to fall again by 0.3% in the first quarter.
  • ECB's Klaas Knot noted that the current inflation outlook in Europe challenges the central bank to engage in direct moves.

EUR/USD extends its losing streak for the third successive session, trading around 1.1240 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The preliminary US Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized, Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices QoQ, and Initial Jobless Claims, scheduled to be released later in the day.

The EUR/USD pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground following a decision by a US federal court on Wednesday to block US President Donald Trump from imposing "Liberation Day" tariffs from taking effect. A three-judge panel at the Court of International Trade in Manhattan ruled that Trump lacked the authority and declared the move unconstitutional and beyond presidential authority.

On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) Minutes for the latest policy indicated that Federal Reserve (Fed) officials broadly agreed that heightened economic uncertainty justified their patient approach to interest-rate adjustments. Fed officials emphasized the need to keep interest rates unchanged for some time, as recent policy shifts cloud the US economic outlook.

However, the downside of the risk-sensitive Euro (EUR) could be restrained due to easing trade tension between the United States and the European Union (EU). Last week, President Trump extended the tariff deadline on imports from the EU from June 1 to July 9.

The Brussels agreed on Monday to accelerate trade talks with the United States to avoid a transatlantic trade war. On Tuesday, Trump expressed his satisfaction in a post on Truth Social, noting that the EU is speeding up the process toward reaching a trade deal with the US. "I have just been informed that the EU has called to quickly establish meeting dates. This is a positive event, and I hope that they will", Trump wrote.

On Wednesday, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of the Dutch central bank De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB), Klaas Knot, said that the current European inflation outlook is gloomy, challenging the central bank to engage in direct moves. Knot added that the medium-term inflation outlook is more ambiguous, which may cause considerable issues.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.29

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Mexican Peso gains as US PCE softens, consumer sentiment in focus

The Mexican Peso (MXN) is strengthening against the US Dollar (USD) in the early hours of the American session on Friday after the release of soft inflation data in the United States, with the pair remaining vulnerable to broader geopolitical risks. 
New
update2025.05.30 22:50

Canada real GDP grows 2.2% in first quarter vs. 1.7% expected

Canada's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.5% on a quarterly basis in the first quarter, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. This reading matched the 0.5% expansion recorded in the last quarter of 2024.
New
update2025.05.30 21:42

US Trade Rep. Greer: Concerned with China's non-compliance, has to be addressed

In an interview with CNBC on Friday, United States Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer said that they are concerned with China's non-compliance and added that this situation has to be addressed, per Reuters.
New
update2025.05.30 21:25

US Pres. Trump: China has totally violated its agreement with US

In a post published on Truth Social on Friday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that China has violated its agreement with the US.
New
update2025.05.30 21:19

Germany annual CPI inflation holds steady at 2.1% as forecast

Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), held steady at 2.1% on a yearly basis in May, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Friday. This reading came in line with the market expectation.
New
update2025.05.30 21:04

JPY outperforming as Tokyo CPI firms expectations for continued BoJ tightening - Scotiabank

Japanese Yen (JPY) is strong and outperforming all of the G10 currencies, entering Friday's NA session with a 0.3% gain against the US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.05.30 21:04

GBP quietly consolidating recent push to multi-year high - Scotiabank

Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, trading down a modest 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.05.30 21:01

Gold recovers quickly after US court ruling on Trump's tariffs - Commerzbank

The price of Gold briefly fell below the USD 3,250 per troy ounce mark on Thursday after it was announced that a US court had declared most of the tariffs imposed by US President Trump to be illegal, Commerzbank's Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
New
update2025.05.30 20:59

CAD steady in quiet trade - Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session. Broader market sentiment is relatively neutral, with European stocks a little firmer while US equity futures are currently trading lower.
New
update2025.05.30 20:57

EU carbon surplus rises 3% on RePowerEU supply - Commerzbank

According to figures published on Wednesday, the number of certificates in circulation (TNAC) at the end of 2024 stood at 1.148 billion, which was actually around 3% higher than in the previous year, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
New
update2025.05.30 20:54

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel