Select Language

EUR/USD retreats to 1.1300, with the Dollar buoyed by good US data

Breaking news

EUR/USD retreats to 1.1300, with the Dollar buoyed by good US data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.28 17:20
EUR/USD retreats to 1.1300, with the Dollar buoyed by good US data

update 2025.05.28 17:20

  • EUR/USD trades lower on positive US data and weak Eurozone confidence numbers.
  • The risk-on mood following Trump's decision to delay tariffs on Europe has favoured the US Dollar rather than the Euro.
  • The Euro is under growing bearish momentum, with 1.1260 support in focus.

EUR/USD is trading lower, around 1.1306 at the time of writing, for the second consecutive day in the early European session on Wednesday. The  US Dollar (USD) is appreciating across the board, favoured by upbeat data and easing trade concerns.

Investors welcomed a significant recovery in US Consumer Confidence, which had been deteriorating during the previous six months. The survey revealed that the percentage of Americans expecting a recession in the coming months also declined.

These figures offset the decline in April's US Durable Goods Orders, which highlights the negative impact of US President Donald Trump's chaotic tariff policy on business and manufacturing.

Beyond that, market sentiment remains buoyed by Trump's decision to delay levies on Eurozone products. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced about 1% from one-month lows, as fears of a new front in the trade war and its potential impact on global economic growth have eased.

In the Eurozone, US Consumer Confidence data failed to impress, and European Central Bank's (ECB) member François Villeroy suggested that the bank has more room to cut interest rates. This added negative pressure on the Euro.

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.09% 0.02% -0.14% 0.08% -0.02% -0.37% 0.00%
EUR -0.09% -0.02% -0.20% -0.01% -0.09% -0.42% -0.03%
GBP -0.02% 0.02% -0.12% 0.06% -0.05% -0.07% 0.00%
JPY 0.14% 0.20% 0.12% 0.20% 0.10% -0.22% 0.22%
CAD -0.08% 0.00% -0.06% -0.20% -0.09% -0.41% -0.06%
AUD 0.02% 0.09% 0.05% -0.10% 0.09% -0.00% 0.05%
NZD 0.37% 0.42% 0.07% 0.22% 0.41% 0.00% 0.06%
CHF -0.01% 0.03% -0.01% -0.22% 0.06% -0.05% -0.06%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).


Daily digest market movers: The Euro suffers against a firmer US Dollar


  • US Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index improved to 98.0 in May, up from 85.7 in April. The survey showed improved expectations for income, business conditions, and employment, while fears of a recession in the next 12 months receded. 

  • US Durable Goods Orders headline figure, on the other hand, declined by 6.3%, on the back of falling aircraft demand. April's numbers came slightly better than the 7.9% fall anticipated by the market, failing to dent the US Dollar's recovery.

  • In Europe, the German GFK Consumer Confidence Survey showed a mild improvement to -19.9 from the previous -20.8, but still remains at extremely low levels.

  • The Eurozone Consumer Confidence remained unchanged at -15.2. The Economic Sentiment Indicator and Industrial Confidence data are improving moderately, but not enough to provide any significant support to the Euro.

  • The focus today will be on the release of the minutes from the last  Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, which might provide further clues about the central bank's next monetary policy steps.

Technical analysis: EUR/USD broke trendline support and eyes the 1.1260 level 

EUR/USD is correcting lower after last week's impulsive rally. The pair´s reversal has extended below the bottom of the ascending channel, and bears are eyeing support at 1.1255, the May 22 low, ahead of the May 19 lows at 1.1220.

On the upside, the pair might retest the reverse trendline, now at 1.1345, before extending lower. Above here, the next resistance is located at the May 27 and 26 highs,1.1400 and  1.1420, respectively.

EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms "risk-on" and "risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a "risk-on" market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a "risk-off" market investors start to 'play it safe' because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of "risk-on", stock markets will rise, most commodities - except Gold - will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a "risk-off" market, Bonds go up - especially major government Bonds - Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are "risk-on". This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of "risk-off" are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world's reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them - even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.28

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.28

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Canadian Dollar lurches higher on upbeat quarterly GDP growth

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) found some room on the top side on Friday, spurred higher by a better-than-expected print in Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures for the first quarter.
update2025.05.31 05:26

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Flat as inflation cools, as US-China tensions rise

The USD/CHF trades subdued on Friday after a US report showed that inflation is approaching the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 2% goal. Meanwhile, US President Trump complains about the slow negotiations between Beijing and Washington, which have roiled the markets.
update2025.05.31 05:11

AUD/USD trades sideways as fundamental and technical factors weigh on price action

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is consolidating against the US Dollar on Friday as fresh domestic data and monetary policy expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to drive price action.
update2025.05.31 05:11

EUR/USD holds steady as US PCE softens, trade tensions offset USD weakness

The Euro (EUR) remains steady against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after a softer-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which was close to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 2% goal, lifted the pair from daily lows of 1.1312.
update2025.05.31 04:20

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plummets below $33.00 as Dollar rebounds, weekly losses near 2%

Silver price turned negative on Friday during the North American session, poised to end the week with losses of over 1.80% as the dollar staged a recovery during the day. XAG/USD trades at $32.87, down 1.29%.
update2025.05.31 04:18

EUR/JPY falls as Bank of Japan faces pressure to raise rates

The Euro (EUR) is coming under renewed pressure against the Japanese Yen (JPY) as investors weigh persistent inflation in Japan against soft consumer and inflation data from the Eurozone.
update2025.05.31 03:32

Dow Jones Industrial Average hobbled by renewed China trade tensions

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stumbled on Friday as investors continue to get pummeled with new trade concerns from the White House.
update2025.05.31 03:17

Gold price falls below $3,300 on strong US Dollar as Trump reignites China tensions

Gold price slumped on Friday as the US Dollar recovered some ground despite witnessing a drop in US Treasury bond yields following a strong inflation report, which keeps traders hopeful that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease policy in 2025. XAU/USD trades at $3,289, down 0.83%.
update2025.05.31 02:19

EUR/GBP edges higher as German Retail Sales and Inflation data provide a mixed picture for the ECB

The Euro (EUR) is firming against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with EUR/GBP holding above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.8415.
update2025.05.31 02:09

US exceptionalism wanes as global investors pivot away - Rabobank

The concept of 'US exceptionalism' covers many specific themes. For academics it may have referred to the US's ability to attract bright minds from around the world and generate cutting edge research.
update2025.05.31 00:24

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel