Select Language

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Edges higher on holiday trade, bulls to face key hurdles

Breaking news

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Edges higher on holiday trade, bulls to face key hurdles

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.27 08:03
NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Edges higher on holiday trade, bulls to face key hurdles

update 2025.05.27 08:03

  • NZD/JPY trades sideways, with momentum neutral as RSI hovers at the 50 mark.
  • Bulls need to clear 86.00 to target 87.73 and YTD high at 89.71.
  • Break below 84.61 could expose support near 83.50 at top of Kumo.

NZD/JPY begins the week on a positive note after registering a gain of over 0.42% on Monday amid thin liquidity conditions, as the US and UK financial markets remained closed for a holiday. In the meantime, as Tuesday's Asian session begins, the cross-pair trades at 85.57, down 0.13% at the time of writing.

NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The NZD/JPY trades sideways from a technical perspective, even though the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) analysis shows the pair is also tilted to the upside. This is because price action is above the Kumo, though capped on the upside by the Tenkan-sen at 85.67.

Momentum suggests that neither buyers nor sellers are in charge, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining at the 50-neutral line.

For a bullish scenario, the NZD/JPY needs to clear the Tenkan-sen and the 86.00 figure so buyers could challenge the latest cycle high of the May 13 high at 87.73. A decisive break will expose the year-to-date (YTD) peak at 89.71.

Conversely, for a bearish scenario to unfold, the NZD/JPY must clear the May 22 low of 84.61. If surpassed, the next support would be the top of the Kumo at around 83.50-83.75.

NZD/JPY Price Chart - Daily

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.27

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.27

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold price falls below $3,300 on strong US Dollar as Trump reignites China tensions

Gold price slumped on Friday as the US Dollar recovered some ground despite witnessing a drop in US Treasury bond yields following a strong inflation report, which keeps traders hopeful that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease policy in 2025. XAU/USD trades at $3,289, down 0.83%.
New
update2025.05.31 02:19

EUR/GBP edges higher as German Retail Sales and Inflation data provide a mixed picture for the ECB

The Euro (EUR) is firming against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with EUR/GBP holding above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.8415.
New
update2025.05.31 02:09

US exceptionalism wanes as global investors pivot away - Rabobank

The concept of 'US exceptionalism' covers many specific themes. For academics it may have referred to the US's ability to attract bright minds from around the world and generate cutting edge research.
New
update2025.05.31 00:24

OPEC+ exports set to rise - TDS

CTAs will continue to sell crude and industrial metals (x-copper) in most scenarios for prices by this time next week. In the imminent term, CTA selling activity will continue to weigh on price action into the OPEC meeting, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
New
update2025.05.31 00:14

Gold open interest hits historic lows despite bullish macro - TDS

This is one of those moments where Gold markets are offering a gift, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
New
update2025.05.31 00:00

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD strives to hold $33 amid renewed Sino-US trade worries

Silver price (XAG/USD) is down almost 1% near the key level of $33.00 during North American trading house on Friday. However, the white metal strives to gain ground as renewed trade tensions between the United States (US) and China are limited the upside in the US Dollar (USD).
New
update2025.05.30 23:52

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Gains ground near 0.8200

The USD/CHF pair attracts bids after revisiting near the five-week low around 0.8185 during North American trading hours on Friday.
New
update2025.05.30 22:53

Mexican Peso gains as US PCE softens, consumer sentiment in focus

The Mexican Peso (MXN) is strengthening against the US Dollar (USD) in the early hours of the American session on Friday after the release of soft inflation data in the United States, with the pair remaining vulnerable to broader geopolitical risks. 
New
update2025.05.30 22:50

Canada real GDP grows 2.2% in first quarter vs. 1.7% expected

Canada's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.5% on a quarterly basis in the first quarter, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. This reading matched the 0.5% expansion recorded in the last quarter of 2024.
New
update2025.05.30 21:42

US Trade Rep. Greer: Concerned with China's non-compliance, has to be addressed

In an interview with CNBC on Friday, United States Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer said that they are concerned with China's non-compliance and added that this situation has to be addressed, per Reuters.
New
update2025.05.30 21:25

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel