Select Language

EUR/GBP gains traction above 0.8400 after German inflation data

Breaking news

EUR/GBP gains traction above 0.8400 after German inflation data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.14 15:56
EUR/GBP gains traction above 0.8400 after German inflation data

update 2025.05.14 15:56

  • EUR/GBP rises above 0.8415 in Wednesday's early session.
  • German HICP inflation came in at 2.2% in April. 
  • ECB's Schnabel said the central bank should keep a steady hand and hold rates close to current levels. 

The EUR/GBP cross trades in positive territory near 0.8415, snapping the seven-day losing streak during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. The Euro (EUR) recovers some lost ground as markets reduce bets on European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate cuts amid easing in trade and geopolitical tensions.

ECB board member Isabel Schnabel, an outspoken policy hawk, said on Friday that the central bank should stop cutting borrowing costs as turmoil in the global economy is fueling price pressures and inflation was at risk of exceeding the ECB's 2% target in the medium term. The less dovish remarks from ECB policymakers, along with the easing tensions after the US-China trade talks, provide some support to the shared currency. 

Financial markets see a 90% possibility of a rate cut in June and see another cut or two in subsequent months, indicating that Schnabel's view goes counter to investor bets.

Data released by the Federal Statistics Office reported on Tuesday that the German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose 2.2% in April, compared the March's reading and the consensus of 2.2%. On a monthly basis, the HICP increased by 0.5%, after a 0.5% rise in the previous month.

On the other hand, cooling employment and softening wage growth have triggered the expectation for the Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts. Last week, the BoE decided to lower its borrowing rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.25% and retained a "gradual and careful" monetary expansion approach.

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.14

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.14

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Mexican Peso hits fresh YTD high as Banxico rate cut, Fed signals, and US trade tensions loom

The Mexican Peso (MXN) posts a second consecutive day of gains on Wednesday against the US Dollar (USD),  slipping below 19.40 ahead of key commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials that could influence the monetary policy outlook.
New
update2025.05.14 20:53

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Retraces from four-month high above 196.50

The GBP/JPY pair corrects to near 194.45 during European trading hours on Wednesday from its four-month high of 196.40 posted earlier in the day.
New
update2025.05.14 20:28

US Dollar extends losses for second consecutive day after inflation miss, Forex talks with Korea

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is adding to its losses and dives toward the 100-marker on Wednesday.
New
update2025.05.14 20:26

GBP: Eyeing a break higher - ING

The US jobs market has continued to cool, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.05.14 20:04

USD: Strategic USD shorts quickly re-emerge - ING

The dollar gave back almost all of its post-China-deal gains in one session.
New
update2025.05.14 20:01

EUR: Not in a prime position to rally - ING

EUR/USD is back to trading close to the 1.120 mark, entirely driven by the swings in the dollar following the US-China deal and CPI numbers, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.05.14 19:54

Oil: Iranian sanctions - ING

ICE Brent rallied by almost 2.6% yesterday, reaching its highest since late April. A weaker USD following a cooler-than-expected US consumer price index (CPI) provided some tailwinds to the oil market.
New
update2025.05.14 19:52

AUD/USD climbs as Australian wage growth beats expectations

The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthened further against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with the AUD/USD pair rising close to the 0.6500 psychological level, up nearly 2% so far this week, buoyed by a combination of weaker US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and stronger-than-expected wage growth
New
update2025.05.14 19:51

NZD/USD: RBNZ to keep cutting in May - ING

Another 25bp rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on 28 May seems likely. Markets are fully pricing it in, following the RBNZ's previous indications that growth remains a major concern, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
New
update2025.05.14 19:49

USD/CNH: Likely to trade sideways between 7.1850 and 7.2100 - UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade sideways between 7.1850 and 7.2100. In the longer run, renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.05.14 19:46

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel