Select Language

EUR/USD strengthens to near 1.1200 as risk appetite returns

Breaking news

EUR/USD strengthens to near 1.1200 as risk appetite returns

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.14 13:36
EUR/USD strengthens to near 1.1200 as risk appetite returns

update 2025.05.14 13:36

  • EUR/USD trades in positive territory near 1.1195 in Wednesday's Asian session.
  • US CPI inflation came in slightly below estimates in April. 
  • Traders reduce bets on ECB rate cuts after US-China talks.  

The EUR/USD pair gains ground to around 1.1195 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Euro (EUR) after the cooler-than-expected US April inflation data. Traders await the German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for April for fresh impetus, which is due later on Wednesday. 

Inflation in the United States (US), as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declined to 2.3% YoY in April from 2.4% in March, below the market consensus of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday. This figure registered the lowest since February 2021. The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.8% YoY in April, compared to the previous reading and expectation of 2.8%. The US Dollar lost ground in an immediate reaction to the cooler US CPI report. 

The US and China agreed to reduce tariffs on each other after two days of negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The US lowered tariffs on Chinese imports to 30% from 145%, while China cut tariffs on US imports to 10% from 125%. Optimism that a tariff deal between the world's two largest economies could cool the trade war has prompted traders to dial back odds of a recession. This, in turn, could provide some support to the Greenback and create a headwind to the major pair. 

Across the pond, markets reduced bets on European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate cuts on Monday amid easing in trade and geopolitical tensions. Money markets have priced in an ECB deposit facility rate of as much as 1.80% by year-end, returning a few bps above levels seen in mid-April before the ECB suggested it was ready to cut rates in response to the potential adverse economic impact of US tariffs. 

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.



 

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.14

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.14

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD extends recovery as soft US inflation data keeps US Dollar on backfoot

EUR/USD moves higher to near 1.1250 during European trading hours on Wednesday, extending Tuesday's gains.
New
update2025.05.14 19:03

NZD/USD: Likely to rise further - UOB Group

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to rise further; it is unlikely to be able to break clearly above 0.5965. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; NZD is expected to trade in a 0.5835/0.6030 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.05.14 18:59

GBP/USD: Some emerging optimism for the pound - ING

Pound Sterling (GBP) is holding up quite well as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer delivers some wins on trade and geopolitics, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
New
update2025.05.14 18:50

AUD/USD: Any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6420/0.6515 - UOB Group

Scope for further Australian Dollar (AUD) strength against the US Dollar (USD), but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6420/0.6515. In the longer run, to continue to rise, AUD must break and hold above 0.6515, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.05.14 18:46

Fed's Goolsbee: Some parts of April inflation represent lagged nature of data

In an interview with National Public Radio (NPR) on Wednesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted that some parts of the April inflation report represent the lagged nature of the data, adding that the Fed is still holding its breath.
New
update2025.05.14 18:42

Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2025.05.14 18:30

USD/JPY: Quite the round trip! - ING

The Japanese Yen (JPY) was one of the prime beneficiaries of the 'sell America' theme that we briefly saw in April, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
New
update2025.05.14 18:22

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests 100.50 support, with nine-day EMA providing backing

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, is losing ground for the second successive session, trading near 100.50 during the European hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.05.14 18:18

TRY: Balance of payments data signal more risk - Commerzbank

The Turkish balance of payments data for March published yesterday are perhaps out of date already, but they brought early warning signs that foreign capital flow could reverse under political or market volatility.
New
update2025.05.14 18:18

GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range - UOB Group

Pound Sterling (GBP) could continue to rebound against US Dollar (USD), but any advance is likely limited to a test of 1.3340. In the longer run, buildup in momentum has faded; GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New
update2025.05.14 18:12

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel