Select Language

EUR/USD strengthens to near 1.1200 as risk appetite returns

Breaking news

EUR/USD strengthens to near 1.1200 as risk appetite returns

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.14 13:36
EUR/USD strengthens to near 1.1200 as risk appetite returns

update 2025.05.14 13:36

  • EUR/USD trades in positive territory near 1.1195 in Wednesday's Asian session.
  • US CPI inflation came in slightly below estimates in April. 
  • Traders reduce bets on ECB rate cuts after US-China talks.  

The EUR/USD pair gains ground to around 1.1195 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Euro (EUR) after the cooler-than-expected US April inflation data. Traders await the German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for April for fresh impetus, which is due later on Wednesday. 

Inflation in the United States (US), as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declined to 2.3% YoY in April from 2.4% in March, below the market consensus of 2.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday. This figure registered the lowest since February 2021. The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.8% YoY in April, compared to the previous reading and expectation of 2.8%. The US Dollar lost ground in an immediate reaction to the cooler US CPI report. 

The US and China agreed to reduce tariffs on each other after two days of negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The US lowered tariffs on Chinese imports to 30% from 145%, while China cut tariffs on US imports to 10% from 125%. Optimism that a tariff deal between the world's two largest economies could cool the trade war has prompted traders to dial back odds of a recession. This, in turn, could provide some support to the Greenback and create a headwind to the major pair. 

Across the pond, markets reduced bets on European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate cuts on Monday amid easing in trade and geopolitical tensions. Money markets have priced in an ECB deposit facility rate of as much as 1.80% by year-end, returning a few bps above levels seen in mid-April before the ECB suggested it was ready to cut rates in response to the potential adverse economic impact of US tariffs. 

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.



 

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.14

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.14

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Canadian Dollar gives back gains despite upbeat jobs data

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) saw firm gains in employment figures on Friday, with an overall net increase in Canadian employment thumping median market forecasts for a contraction.
New
update2025.06.07 06:04

Mexican Peso climbs to eight-month highs against the US Dollar despite upbeat US jobs data

The Mexican Peso (MXN) is experiencing its third consecutive day of gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, pushing the USD/MXN exchange rate to its lowest level in eight months.
New
update2025.06.07 04:39

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Soars to weekly high, near 145.00 on hot US jobs report

USD/JPY extended its uptrend for two consecutive days, with the major currency pair reaching a new weekly high of 145.09, driven by solid US economic data on Friday.
New
update2025.06.07 04:37

EUR/USD declines on hot US NFP report, dents ECB-driven Euro rally

EUR/USD trip down extends its losses on Friday after hitting a six-week high near 1.1500 as Nonfarm Payroll figures in the United States (US) came in stronger than expected despite cooling off.
New
update2025.06.07 03:56

Dow Jones Industrial Average tests fresh highs on NFP beat despite downside revisions

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) briefly tested fresh 13-week peaks on Friday, with equities taking a step higher after Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) jobs data came in stronger than expected.
New
update2025.06.07 03:03

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hits a 13-year high on increased demand for the industrial metal

Silver (XAG/USD) is experiencing another day of positive gains, which has pushed prices to $36.00, its highest level since February 2012, providing a firm barrier of resistance. 
New
update2025.06.07 02:45

Gold price falls on strong US Nonfarm Payrolls yet is poised for weekly advance

Gold price extended its losses for the second consecutive day on Friday but is poised to finish the week with gains of over 1.30% after the latest Nonfarm Payrolls report in the United States (US) was solid, pressuring traders to trim their bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease monetary poli
update2025.06.07 02:15

Fed's Harker: Still possible the Fed can cut rates later this year

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker is embarking on a farewell tour.
update2025.06.07 01:57

AUD/USD falls as US Dollar bulls return following NFP data

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) following Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) pushed back expectations of a near-term interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
update2025.06.07 00:52

GBP/USD slips as strong US jobs data cools Fed rate cut bets

GBP/USD tumbled during the North American session, down over 0.30% after the latest jobs report in the United States (US) maintained the status quo, with the economy remaining strong. The pair traded at 1.3526 after hitting a daily high of 1.3586.
update2025.06.07 00:21

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel