Created
: 2025.05.13
- English
- English
- What's Myforex
- Share
- Use tools
- Get information
- What's New
- Help center
- About us
- Customer support
- Terms and policies
-
-
PortfolioShare your portfolio and performance in real time -
Events & contestsEvents and contests held by retail brokers around the world
-
-
Real-time spread comparisonCompare spreads of major retail brokers in real time -
Volatility analysisVisualize volatility as a measure of daily market activity -
Swap point comparisonCompare buy and sell swap values for each broker by symbol -
Market rates & chartsCheck prices for all instruments offered by each broker -
IndicatorsProviding in-house developed indicators for MT4/MT5 -
Trading calculatorsCalculation tools for each broker to help you trade
-
-
World FX newsLatest news on forex and cryptocurrencies from around the world -
Broker informationTrading information of retail brokers worldwide -
MetaTrader4/5 user guideUser guide collection for the latest MetaTrader4/5 -
Economic calendarRelease calendar for indicators from official sources of major economies
EUR/USD takes a halting plunge, tests below 1.10 as key inflation data looms ahead
World FX news
Breaking news
EUR/USD takes a halting plunge, tests below 1.10 as key inflation data looms ahead
New
2025.05.13 08:33
2025.05.13 08:33
2025.05.13 08:33
- EUR/USD took a tumble on Monday, closing 1.4% lower a brief test below 1.1000.
- A (temporary) walkback of US-China tariffs bolstered risk appetite.
- Key US CPI inflation data looms ahead, with EU GDP growth figures around the corner.
EUR/USD took a hard step lower on Monday, kicking off the new trading week with a fresh dip below 1.1000 before a late recovery pushed the pair back toward 1.1100. The Fiber still closed 1.4% lower on the day, and investors are bracing for a fresh batch of United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data due on Tuesday.
Forex Today: All the attention shifts to US Inflation data
The US and China have jointly decided to pause steep triple-digit tariffs during initial trade discussions over the weekend, giving markets a brief respite before the US's unusual "reciprocal" tariff schedule is set to resume in 90 days. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report for April will be closely monitored this Tuesday. Headline CPI inflation is projected to rise to 0.3% month-over-month from the previous -0.1%, while core CPI inflation is anticipated to increase to 0.3% from 0.1%. Despite these monthly changes, both core and headline inflation are expected to remain stable YoY.
US CPI inflation, EU GDP growth on the docket this week
Final German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation is due on Wednesday, but no major changes are expected in the non-preliminary data. Advance pan-European Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures are slated for Thursday, and will be Euro traders' big print for the week. Markets broadly expect both QoQ and annualized GDP growth to hold steady at previous figures of 0.4% and 1.2%, respectively.
EUR/USD price forecast
EUR/USD's fresh bearish plunge on Monday saw the pair test below 1.1000 for the first time since early April. The pair is still trading north of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.1070, but only just.
Price momentum has been firmly bearish since the pair peaked above 1.1500 and failed to hold the critical level. Daily candles have closed bearish more often than not for the last 14 consecutive trading sessions, or nearly three weeks.
EUR/USD daily chart
Euro FAQs
The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.
Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.
Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.
Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
Last updated
: 2025.05.13
Related articles
Canadian Dollar gives back gains despite upbeat jobs data
2025.06.07 06:04Mexican Peso climbs to eight-month highs against the US Dollar despite upbeat US jobs data
2025.06.07 04:39USD/JPY Price Forecast: Soars to weekly high, near 145.00 on hot US jobs report
2025.06.07 04:37EUR/USD declines on hot US NFP report, dents ECB-driven Euro rally
2025.06.07 03:56Dow Jones Industrial Average tests fresh highs on NFP beat despite downside revisions
2025.06.07 03:03Fed's Harker: Still possible the Fed can cut rates later this year
2025.06.07 01:57
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
Was this article helpful?
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.
Most viewed
Canadian Dollar gives back gains despite upbeat jobs data
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) saw firm gains in employment figures on Friday, with an overall net increase in Canadian employment thumping median market forecasts for a contraction.
New
2025.06.07 06:04Mexican Peso climbs to eight-month highs against the US Dollar despite upbeat US jobs data
The Mexican Peso (MXN) is experiencing its third consecutive day of gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, pushing the USD/MXN exchange rate to its lowest level in eight months.
New
2025.06.07 04:39USD/JPY Price Forecast: Soars to weekly high, near 145.00 on hot US jobs report
USD/JPY extended its uptrend for two consecutive days, with the major currency pair reaching a new weekly high of 145.09, driven by solid US economic data on Friday.
New
2025.06.07 04:37EUR/USD declines on hot US NFP report, dents ECB-driven Euro rally
EUR/USD trip down extends its losses on Friday after hitting a six-week high near 1.1500 as Nonfarm Payroll figures in the United States (US) came in stronger than expected despite cooling off.
New
2025.06.07 03:56Dow Jones Industrial Average tests fresh highs on NFP beat despite downside revisions
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) briefly tested fresh 13-week peaks on Friday, with equities taking a step higher after Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) jobs data came in stronger than expected.
New
2025.06.07 03:03Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hits a 13-year high on increased demand for the industrial metal
Silver (XAG/USD) is experiencing another day of positive gains, which has pushed prices to $36.00, its highest level since February 2012, providing a firm barrier of resistance.
New
2025.06.07 02:45Gold price falls on strong US Nonfarm Payrolls yet is poised for weekly advance
Gold price extended its losses for the second consecutive day on Friday but is poised to finish the week with gains of over 1.30% after the latest Nonfarm Payrolls report in the United States (US) was solid, pressuring traders to trim their bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease monetary poli
2025.06.07 02:15Fed's Harker: Still possible the Fed can cut rates later this year
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker is embarking on a farewell tour.
2025.06.07 01:57AUD/USD falls as US Dollar bulls return following NFP data
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) following Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) pushed back expectations of a near-term interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
2025.06.07 00:52GBP/USD slips as strong US jobs data cools Fed rate cut bets
GBP/USD tumbled during the North American session, down over 0.30% after the latest jobs report in the United States (US) maintained the status quo, with the economy remaining strong. The pair traded at 1.3526 after hitting a daily high of 1.3586.
2025.06.07 00:21Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy
