Select Language

EUR/GBP edges lower below 0.8450 on dovish ECB tone

Breaking news

EUR/GBP edges lower below 0.8450 on dovish ECB tone

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.05.12 16:12
EUR/GBP edges lower below 0.8450 on dovish ECB tone

update 2025.05.12 16:12

  • EUR/GBP slumps to near 0.8435 in Monday's early European session. 
  • BoE sticks to a cautious path, supporting the GBP.
  • Traders raise their bets on ECB rate reductions this year. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends the decline to around 0.8435 during the early European session on Monday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) strengthens against the Euro (EUR) due to positive developments surrounding the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK) trade agreement last week. Trader will focus on the speeches of the Bank of England (BoE) policymakers, including Megan Greene,  Catherine Mann and Alan Taylor. 

US President Donald Trump last week said that he will continue to impose a new 10% tariff on imports of most British goods but will reduce higher tariffs on imports of British cars, steel and aluminium. These positive developments surrounding the US-UK trade deal lift the GBP and act as a headwind for the cross. 

A gradual and careful policy-easing approach by the BOE contributes to the GBP's upside. The UK central bank cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point in a divided decision last week and suggested that the growth risks posed by Trump's global trade war haven't derailed its plan to ease policy only cautiously. The BoE estimated the UK economy to grow at a faster pace of 1%, up from 0.75% projected in the February meeting.

On the Euro's front, growing expectations of further interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) weigh on the shared currency. Furthermore, ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn said on Friday that the central bank should cut its interest rate next month if its new forecasts confirm an outlook of disinflation and waning growth momentum. 

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.05.12

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.05.12

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

GBP/USD hovers above 1.3550 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls

GBP/USD maintains its position near 1.3616, the highest since February 2022, which was recorded on June 5. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3570, with little moves ahead of labor market data from the United States (US).
New
update2025.06.06 12:47

USD/CAD trades cautiously near 1.3650 ahead of US/Canada employment data

The USD/CAD pair strives to hold an almost eight-month low of 1.3635 during Friday's Asian trading session, posted the previous day.
New
update2025.06.06 12:13

NZD/USD remains below 0.6050, pulls back from eight-month highs

NZD/USD is trading around 0.6030 during the Asian hours on Friday after retreating from the eight-month high of 0.6081, reached on Thursday.
New
update2025.06.06 12:10

Canadian PM Carney and China Premier Li discussed trade and bilateral relations

Canadian Prime Minister's Office (PMO) published a statement on Friday, citing that Canada's PM Mark Carney spoke with Chinese Premier Li Qiang about trade and bilateral relations.
New
update2025.06.06 12:09

WTI consolidates around mid-$62.00s; looks to US NFP for fresh impetus

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices oscillate in a narrow band, around mid-$62.00s during the Asian session on Friday, and remain on track to register gains for the first time in three weeks.
New
update2025.06.06 11:54

Japanese Yen continues to decline after weaker Household Spending data

The Japanese Yen (JPY) drifts lower for the second consecutive day on Friday in reaction to the disappointing release of Japan's Household Spending data.
New
update2025.06.06 11:42

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1450 after retreating from two-month highs

EUR/USD continues to lose ground after pulling back from a two-month high of 1.1495, marked on June 5, currently trading around 1.1440 during the Asian hours on Friday.
New
update2025.06.06 11:35

Australian Dollar extends gains as sentiment improves following a Trump-Xi phone call

The Australian Dollar (AUD) advances against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, extending its winning streak for the third successive day. Traders await the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, due later in the day, seeking fresh insights into the United States (US) economy.
New
update2025.06.06 10:34

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1845 vs. 7.1865 previous

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Friday at 7.1845 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1865 and 7.1935 Reuters estimate.
New
update2025.06.06 10:17

Japan's Kato: Monetary policy decision is up to BoJ

Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato, when asked about the US Treasury report on exchange rate, said that the monetary policy decision is up to the Bank of Japan.
New
update2025.06.06 09:54

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel