Select Language

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds below $3,350 on firmer US Dollar, easing US-China trade tensions

Breaking news

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds below $3,350 on firmer US Dollar, easing US-China trade tensions

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.04.29 09:36
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds below $3,350 on firmer US Dollar, easing US-China trade tensions

update 2025.04.29 09:36

  • Gold price declines to near $3,335 in Tuesday's early Asian session. 
  • Improved optimism over a US-China trade deal undermines the Gold price. 
  • Fed rate cut bets might help limit the XAU/USD's losses. 

The Gold price (XAU/USD) loses ground to around $3,335 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The yellow metal edges lower amid a modest rebound of the US Dollar (USD) and a softening in tensions between the United States and China. 

China exempted some US imports from its 125% tariffs on Friday,  raising hopes that the trade war between the US and China is nearing an end, although China quickly knocked down US President Donald Trump's assertion that negotiations between the two countries were underway. 

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday that the US government is in contact with China but that it's up to Beijing to take the first step in de-escalating the tariff fight with the US due to the imbalance of trade between the two nations. The easing fears of trade tension between the world's two largest economies reduce demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, a stronger Greenback added further headwinds for the precious metal.

"Comments last week from the White House have fueled optimism that a US-China trade deal may eventuate, which has caused safe-haven demand for assets such as gold to subside," said Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade.

On the other hand, rising expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in the June meeting could lift the non-yielding Gold price. Meanwhile, the Fed remains in blackout mode ahead of its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 7.

Traders will keep an eye on the preliminary US Q1 GDP report and April employment data this week, as it might offer some hints about the Fed's next policy decisions and the US economic outlook. The expectation for April is that the US economy will add 135,000 jobs and the Unemployment Rate will remain at 4.2%. If the reports show a weaker-than-expected outcome, this could drag the Greenback lower and boost the USD-denominated commodity price in the near term.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



 


Date

Created

 : 2025.04.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.04.29

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

ECB's Cipollone: Trade policy uncertainty could reduce business investment

European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Piero Cipollone said that "trade policy uncertainty could reduce business investment."
New
update2025.04.29 16:15

EUR/INR: Indian Rupee cross rates down at the start of the European session

Indian Rupee (INR) crosses trade with a negative bias at the start of Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. The Euro (EUR) to the Indian Rupee changes hands at 97.17, with the EUR/INR pair declining from its previous close at 97.26.
New
update2025.04.29 16:11

USD/CAD holds gains near 1.3850 as Canadian Liberals fail to secure majority government

USD/CAD has recovered its intraday losses, trading around 1.3840 during early European hours on Tuesday. The pair appreciates as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) loses ground following election results in Canada.
New
update2025.04.29 16:10

Forex Today: US Dollar holds ground following Monday's choppy action

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, April 29:
New
update2025.04.29 16:03

Palladium price: Rare metals down at the start of the European session

Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) trade with a negative tone at the beginning of Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. Palladium (XPD) changes hands at $947.45 a troy ounce, with the XPD/USD pair easing from its previous close at $949.15.
New
update2025.04.29 15:59

EUR/GBP loses ground below 0.8500, investors await BoE's Ramsden speech

The EUR/GBP cross extends its downside to near 0.8490 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) softens against the Pound Sterling (GBP) due to the dovish remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB).
New
update2025.04.29 15:55

Crude Oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Tuesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $61.15 per barrel, down from Monday's close at $61.64.
New
update2025.04.29 15:10

Canadian PM Carney declares victory in election

Canadian Prime Minister (PM) Mark Carney came out on the wires and declared a victory in the federal election on Tuesday.
New
update2025.04.29 14:30

GBP/JPY flat lines below 191.00 mark despite broadly weaker JPY

The GBP/JPY cross struggles to capitalize on its modest Asian session uptick and currently trades just below the 191.00 round-figure mark, nearly unchanged for the day.
New
update2025.04.29 14:29

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA barrier near 0.8250

The USD/CHF pair halts its three-day losing streak, trading around 0.8240 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The daily chart analysis indicates a potential bullish shift, as the pair consolidates above the descending channel pattern.
New
update2025.04.29 14:13

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel