Select Language

NZD/USD softens below 0.6000, eyes on US-China trade tensions

Breaking news

NZD/USD softens below 0.6000, eyes on US-China trade tensions

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.04.25 11:02
NZD/USD softens below 0.6000, eyes on US-China trade tensions

update 2025.04.25 11:02

  • NZD/USD loses ground to around 0.5985 in Friday's Asian session. 
  • China told the US to cancel all unilateral tariffs if it wants talks. 
  • China's Finance Ministry said current world economic growth momentum was insufficient due to tariff threats and trade wars. 

The NZD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.5985 during the Asian session on Friday, pressured by the firmer Greenback. The lack of progress toward defusing the US-China trade deal exerts some selling pressure on the China-proxy Kiwi. The final reading of Michigan Consumer Sentiment is due later on Friday.

US President Donald Trump said late Thursday that his administration was talking with China on trade. Meanwhile, China said that no negotiations had been held on the economy and trade, and it urged the US to lift all unilateral tariff measures if it really wished to resolve the issue. Concerns over trade tensions between the world's two largest economies could undermine the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), as China is a major trading partner to New Zealand. 

The rising bets that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will lower its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at the May meeting might contribute to the NZD's downside. The markets fully expect the RBNZ to cut its 3.5% OCR by 25 basis points (bps) in May, with a further reduction to 2.75% by year-end.

China's Finance Ministry said on Friday that the current world economic growth momentum was insufficient, with tariff and trade wars further impacting economic and financial stability. Meanwhile, People's Bank of China (PBOC) Governor Pan Gongsheng noted that economic fragmentation and trade tensions continue to disrupt the industrial supply chain and weaken the momentum of global growth. However, any positive developments surrounding Chinese stimulus measures could help limit the Kiwi's losses in the near term. 

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.


Date

Created

 : 2025.04.25

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.04.25

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

AUD/NZD price analysis: Cross struggles to hold gains amid mixed signals

The AUD/NZD pair is experiencing mild selling pressure on Friday, hovering near the 1.09 zone as the market approaches the Asian session. Despite the minor losses, the broader technical outlook remains constructive, with several key indicators aligning to support the pair's upward trajectory.
New
update2025.05.17 07:03

AUD/USD steadies as traders await RBA decision

The AUD/USD pair is trading around the 0.6400 level during European trading hours on Friday, reflecting a broadly neutral tone as traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision next week.
New
update2025.05.17 06:35

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slips as US yields rebound, hovers below $32.50

Silver prices edged lower on Friday, with losses of over 1%, set to end the week on a negative note amid rising US Treasury yields, which staged a comeback late during the North American session. The XAG/USD trades at $32.26 after hitting a daily peak of $32.68 at the time of writing.
New
update2025.05.17 06:31

Moody's downgrades US debt to AA1, citing rising interest costs and unsustainable debt growth

Moody's Ratings agency downgraded the US's sovereign debt credit rating after the market close on Friday. According to Moody's, the US is facing rising debt funding costs that far exceed those of similar government debt loads.
New
update2025.05.17 06:07

NZD/JPY price analysis: Cross struggles to maintain upward momentum

The NZD/JPY pair is attempting to hold on to modest gains as it trades near the 85.70 zone ahead of the Asian session on Friday.
New
update2025.05.17 06:01

Mexican Peso set for weekly gains as weak US data offsets Banxico's rate cut

The Mexican Peso (MXN) erases its previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday and Is set to finish the week with gains.
New
update2025.05.17 05:11

NZD/USD steadies near 0.5890 after data-driven rebound, but broader bias remains weak

NZD/USD is trading slightly higher near 0.5890 during early Friday trading, recovering from recent losses as upbeat domestic data supports the Kiwi.
New
update2025.05.17 05:01

Canadian Dollar backslides once again, remains rangebound

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) continued its back-and-forth pattern against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday. The Loonie pared away the previous day's gains and kept USD/CAD pinned near the 1.4000 handle.
New
update2025.05.17 04:13

WTI crude oil rebounds above $61 as bulls defend $55 base, upside capped by Iran, OPEC+ supply risk

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is trading around $62 on Friday ahead of the weekend, staging a modest rebound after snapping a two-day losing streak.
New
update2025.05.17 03:14

Gold price plummets over 4% this week as risk sentiment improves

Gold prices fell by more than 1.50% on Friday and are set to end the week with losses of over 4% as an improvement in market mood prompted investors to sell the precious metal in favor of riskier assets. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $3,187 after hitting a daily high of $3,252.
New
update2025.05.17 03:09

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel