Select Language

GBP/USD flat lines above 1.2900 mark as traders await Trump's tariffs announcement

Breaking news

GBP/USD flat lines above 1.2900 mark as traders await Trump's tariffs announcement

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.04.02 13:53
GBP/USD flat lines above 1.2900 mark as traders await Trump's tariffs announcement

update 2025.04.02 13:53

  • GBP/USD lacks any firm intraday direction and remains confined in a range on Wednesday. 
  • Fed rate cut bets keep the USD bulls on the defensive, which acts as a tailwind for the major.
  • Expectations for less aggressive BoE rate cuts further lend support ahead of Trump's tariffs.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of the 1.2870 support zone, or a multi-week low touched last Thursday, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.2915-1.2920 region, nearly unchanged for the day, as traders keenly await US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs announcement before placing fresh directional bets. 

In the meantime, investors opt to wait on the sidelines amid the risk of a widening global trade war, especially after Trump dashed hopes that the levies would be limited to a smaller group of countries with the biggest trade imbalances. The UK expects to be hit by new US tariffs, indicating that a deal to exempt British goods will not be reached in time. This, in turn, is seen acting as a headwind for the British Pound (GBP) and the GBP/USD pair. 

The downside, however, seems cushioned amid subdued US Dollar (USD) price action, led by expectations that a tariff-driven slowdown in the US economic activity would force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. In fact, the markets are pricing in a greater chance of a rate cut in June and the bets were lifted by US ISM PMI on Tuesday, which indicated that the manufacturing sector contracted for the first time in three months. 

Apart from this, a stable performance around the equity markets is seen undermining the safe-haven Greenback, The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, could draw support from expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will lower borrowing costs more slowly than other central banks, including the Fed. This might further contribute to limiting the downside for the GBP/USD pair and warrants caution for aggressive bearish traders.

Moving ahead, there isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the UK. The US economic docket, however, features the ADP report on private-sector employment and Factory Orders data. This, along with the broader risk sentiment, could influence the USD and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair later during the North American session. The focus, however, remains glued to Trump's tariffs announcement. 

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.04.02

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.04.02

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Sticks to strong gains near multi-month top, above mid-1.3000s

The GBP/USD pair gains strong follow-through positive traction for the second successive day on Thursday and advances to its highest level since October 2024 during the Asian session.
New
update2025.04.03 14:07

Gold price buying remains unabated; fresh record highs being set amid risk-off mood

Gold price (XAU/USD) shot to a fresh record high during the Asian session on Thursday as investors rushed to take refuge in traditional safe-haven assets amid the risk-off impulse.
New
update2025.04.03 13:26

EC President von der Leyen: US tariffs are a major blow to the world economy

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen responded to US President Donald Trump's 'reciprocal tariffs' on Thursday, noting that "US tariffs are a major blow to the world economy."
New
update2025.04.03 12:37

USD/INR jumps as Trump imposes a 26% tariff directed at India

The Indian Rupee (INR) remains under selling pressure on Thursday, pressured by the weakening in Asian equity and currency markets after US President Donald Trump imposed broad-based tariffs.
New
update2025.04.03 12:29

WTI trims part of tariffs-inspired losses, finds some support near $69.00 mark

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices extend the previous day's retracement slide from the $72.00 neighborhood, or the highest level since February 21, and attract heavy follow-through selling during the Asian session on Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 11:54

China's Commerce Ministry: Will take countermeasures on Trump's tariffs

Responding to US President Donald Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" on Thursday, China's Commerce Ministry stated that it "firmly opposes U.S. tariffs and will resolutely take countermeasures to safeguard its rights and interests."
New
update2025.04.03 11:27

Japanese Yen spikes to multi-week high against USD after Trump's tariffs announcement

The Japanese Yen (JPY) jumped to a three-week top against its American counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday after US President Donald Trump imposed sweeping trade tariffs.
New
update2025.04.03 11:26

AUD/USD remains weak below 0.6300 despite upbeat Chinese PMI data

The AUD/USD pair remains under selling pressure around 0.6280 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 11:00

China's Caixin Services PMI rises to 51.9 in March vs. 51.6 expected

China's Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 51.9 in March from 51.4 in February, the latest data published by Caixin showed Thursday.
New
update2025.04.03 10:46

RBA FSR: US tariffs could have a chilling effect on business investment and consumer spending

In its Financial Stability Review (FSR) published on Thursday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warned that the US "tariffs could have a chilling effect on business investment and consumer spending."
New
update2025.04.03 10:31

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel