Created
: 2025.04.01
2025.04.01 22:14
Euro (EUR) is underperforming with a modest 0.2% decline vs. the US Dollar (USD), while still trading within a relatively tight range around 1.08, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
"Data releases have offered few surprises with the Eurozone manufacturing PMI coming in at 48.6 (vs. 48.7 exp.) and headline CPI printing 2.2% y/y as expected. Messaging out of the ECB continues to shift toward a pause at the April 17 meeting, which should offer support to the EUR via spreads given that markets are still pricing about 20bps of easing."
"Near-term risk will remain centered on trade however, as markets maintain their focus on Wednesdays' US trade announcement."
"Near-term price action remains centered around 1.08 with support in the mid-1.07s and resistance around 1.0850. The moderation in momentum reflects the broader, month-long consolidation bound between the low 1.07 area and the mid-1.09s."
Created
: 2025.04.01
Last updated
: 2025.04.01
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