Select Language

China: Buckle up for 'Liberation Day' - Standard Chartered

Breaking news

China: Buckle up for 'Liberation Day' - Standard Chartered

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.03.28 20:34
China: Buckle up for 'Liberation Day' - Standard Chartered

update 2025.03.28 20:34

The US has limited room to further hike tariffs on China under the Reciprocal Tariff Act. But tariff uncertainty remains high; result of the US-China 2020 Phase 1 trade deal review is crucial. The proposed US port fee, if implemented, could disrupt global shipping, Standard Chartered's economists note. 

The eye of the storm

"The US has limited room to further hike tariffs on China under reciprocal terms, in our view, as it nears the conclusion of its trade investigations under the Reciprocal Trade Act. Reciprocal tariffs are due to be announced on 2 April - termed 'Liberation Day' by Trump. We estimate that the average US tariff on China is currently 15ppt higher than China's average tariff on the US. Even if the US treats VAT as a trade barrier, China's highest VAT rate is 13%, still lower than the current US-China tariff differential. But uncertainty regarding trade restrictions is still high, and the result of the 2020 Phase 1 trade deal review could be crucial. "

"Trump has already announced a 25% tariff on all foreign-made cars (including parts), effective soon. Pharmaceutical products, chips and lumber could also be targeted, but their tariff timing is uncertain. However, we expect the sectoral tariffs to  have a limited impact on China, as the average US tariff on China has already reached c.32%, which is higher than the recently announced sectoral tariffs. The planned 'secondary tariff' on Venezuela (effective 2 April) would also have a marginal impact on China; China's oil imports from Venezuela were only 0.3% of its total oil purchases in 2024." 

"Beside tariffs, the US has also hardened restrictions on China's investment, shipping, and AI industry. The Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) has proposed port entrance fees for any shipping operator using China-made vessels. If the proposal becomes legislation, it will cause significant disruptions to global logistics and create an extra barrier to China's exports, in our view."


Date

Created

 : 2025.03.28

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.03.28

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

ECB's Kazimir: Uncertainty is here to stay, driven by US trade policy

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir said on Tuesday that he is confident that the 2% inflation target will be reached in the next few months, per Reuters.
New
update2025.04.22 21:10

AUD/USD retraces to near 0.6400 as US Dollar strives to gain ground

The AUD/USD pair corrects slightly to near 0.6400 during European trading hours on Tuesday after posting a fresh four-month high at 0.6440 earlier in the day. The Aussie pair retraces as the US Dollar (USD) strives to gain ground after remaining in the downside trajectory in the last few weeks.
New
update2025.04.22 20:26

US Dollar remains on the back foot after Trump lashes out at Powell

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, trades broadly flat on Tuesday near a three-year low, consolidating Monday's losses.
New
update2025.04.22 19:54

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD wobbles below $33 as investors seek development in US-China trade

Silver price (XAG/USD) trades sideways around $32.50 during European trading hours on Tuesday. The white metal has turned sideways over the last three trading days as investors look for fresh development in trade relations between the United States (US) and China.
New
update2025.04.22 19:42

USD/JPY: Stay short into Kato-Bessent meeting - OCBC

USD/JPY continues to trade with a heavy bias as broad USD softness persists. Pair was last at 140.34 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.04.22 19:18

Gold: Another new high - OCBC

XAU/USD surged to another fresh highs as Trump doubled down on threats against Powell, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.04.22 19:16

DXY: Short covering Soon? - OCBC

Dollar Index (DXY) continued to trade near recent lows and was last seen trading at 98.44, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.04.22 19:13

US Vice President Vance: India and America have finalized terms of reference for a trade deal

US Vice President James David Vance announced on Tuesday that India and America have finalized the terms of reference for a trade deal.
New
update2025.04.22 19:13

BoE on track for May cut after disinflation surprise - Danske Bank

Prior to Easter, EUR/GBP rose on the soft inflation data for March only partly reversed since then on a dovish ECB, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.
New
update2025.04.22 19:09

Gold uptrend accelerates, MACD hits multiyear high - Société Générale

Gold continues to push higher after defending its 50-day moving average, with no immediate signs of exhaustion.
New
update2025.04.22 19:06

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel