Select Language

AUD/USD gains to near 0.6300 amid weakness in US Dollar

Breaking news

AUD/USD gains to near 0.6300 amid weakness in US Dollar

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.03.11 22:50
AUD/USD gains to near 0.6300 amid weakness in US Dollar

update 2025.03.11 22:50

  • AUD/USD rises to near 0.6300 as the US Dollar slides due to uncertain US economic outlook.
  • Australia's Westpac Consumer Confidence increases significantly to 4% in March.
  • Investors await the US inflation data, which will influence expectations for the Fed's monetary policy outlook.

The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near the key level of 0.6300 in Tuesday's North American session. The Aussie pair gains as the US Dollar (USD) faces significant selling pressures amid fears that the tariff agenda of United States (US) President Donald Trump will lead to economic turbulence in the near term.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, posts a fresh four-month low near 103.50.

Investors expect Trump tariffs to accelerate price pressures as their impact will be borne by US importers. Such a scenario will diminish the purchasing power of households who have been already battling to high inflationary pressures.

To get cues about the current status of US inflation, investors will focus on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February, which will be published on Wednesday. The US inflation report is expected to show that the headline CPI decelerated to 2.9% from 3% in January. In the same period, the core CPI - which excludes volatile food and energy prices - is estimated to have grown at a slower pace of 3.2% compared to 3.3% seen earlier.

In the Aussie region, Westpac Consumer Confidence has increased significantly to 4% in March from 0.1% in February, the highest level in four months. Consumer Confidence has increased due to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate cut decision on February 18. The RBA reduced its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.1% but guided a cautious outlook as the battle against inflation is not over yet.

Australian Dollar FAQs

One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive.

China is Australia's largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs.

Iron Ore is Australia's largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD.

The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.03.11

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.03.11

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

US President Donald Trump: I have the right to adjust tariffs

During a public meeting with Ireland's Prime Minister, or Taoiseach, Micheál Martin, United States (US) President Donald Trump took the opportunity to deliver another hodge-podge of comments addressing his usual variety of topics that White House watchers have become increasingly familiar with.
New
update2025.03.13 02:01

Dow Jones Industrial Average sinks further despite upbeat CPI as trade fears resume

The Dow Jones is down around 150 points on Wednesday, bearing the brunt of broad-market trade war fears as the United States (US) imposes a global 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the US market.
New
update2025.03.13 01:01

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Consolidates near 1.0900 as bulls take a breather

The EUR/USD pair traded with a neutral tone on Wednesday after the European session, hovering around the 1.0900 mark as market participants took a step back following its strong rally.
New
update2025.03.13 00:46

GBP/USD slides despite cooling US inflation, eyes on US PPI

The Pound Sterling depreciated against the US Dollar on Wednesday as US inflation data revealed the disinflation process continued.
New
update2025.03.13 00:20

Canada's Carney: We are ready to meet with Trump when there's respect for Canada's sovereignty

Mark Carney, the candidate who has been tapped to replace incumbent Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, has signalled that he and the Canadian administration responsible for cross-border discussions are ready and prepared to begin holding meetings with their US counterparts, and US President Donald Trump specifically to discuss trade matters.
New
update2025.03.13 00:09

USD/CAD gauges temporary support near 1.4400 after US CPI, BoC's policy decision

The USD/CAD pair looks for temporary support near the key level of 1.4400 during North American trading hours on Wednesday after the release of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February and the Bank of Canada's (BoC) interest rate decision.
New
update2025.03.12 23:36

USD/JPY jumps to near 149.00 after soft US CPI data

The USD/JPY pair surges to near 149.20 during North American trading hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.03.12 22:54

GBP holds in low 1.29 zone - Scotiabank

Pound Sterling (GBP) is down slightly on the session, but price moves largely reflect the broader tone on the USD, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.03.12 22:31

EUR retains bullish undertone - Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) peaked around 1.0950 yesterday vs US Dollar (USD), helped in part by news of progress in Ukraine peace talks, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.03.12 22:26

CAD trades steadily on the day - Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is moderately higher (with the MXN) as 25% steel/aluminum tariffs were enforced as of midnight.
New
update2025.03.12 22:22

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel