Created
: 2025.01.14
2025.01.14 13:09
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Tuesday and reverses a part of the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of a one-month top touched last week. Reports that US President-elect Donald Trump's top economic advisers are mulling a slow ramp-up in tariffs to prevent a sudden spike in inflation trigger a modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields and benefit the non-yielding yellow metal. Apart from this, the uptick lacks any obvious catalyst and is likely to remain capped amid hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
The upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released on Friday reinforced bets for a slower pace of interest rate cuts by the US central bank this year. This, in turn, assists the US Dollar (USD) to stall its profit-taking slide from over a two-year peak touched on Monday and should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields. Meanwhile, easing fears about disruptive trade tariffs under Trump 2.0 boost investors' confidence, which further warrants some caution before placing fresh bullish bets around the Gold price. Traders now look to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for a fresh impetus.
From a technical perspective, any subsequent strength beyond the $2,676-2,677 area is likely to confront some resistance near the $2,690 zone ahead of the $2,700 mark. Some follow-through buying beyond the latter will set the stage for an extension of over a three-week-old uptrend and lift the Gold price to the $2,716-2,717 hurdle en route to the December monthly swing high, around the $2,726 region.
On the flip side, the $2,657-2,656 area, Monday's low, might continue to protect the immediate downside. A convincing break below, however, could make the Gold price vulnerable to accelerate the downfall towards the $2,635 region. The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $2,610 confluence, comprising the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (SMA) and a multi-week-old ascending trend line.
Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
Created
: 2025.01.14
Last updated
: 2025.01.14
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy