Created
: 2025.01.09
2025.01.09 20:48
The USD/CAD pair struggles to extend its upside above the immediate resistance of 1.4400 from the last two trading sessions. The Loonie pair trades inside Wednesday's trading range in Thursday's European session, with investors focusing on the United States (US) and Canadian employment data for December, which will be published on Friday.
The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to show that the economy added 154K fresh workers in December, lower than the former release of 227K. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%.
Ahead of the US NFP data, the US Dollar (USD) performs strongly across the board as the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes have signaled that officials are worried about growing risks to a slowdown in the disinflation trend due to upcoming potential trade and immigration policy changes, which are expected under President-elect Donald Trump's administration.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, stays firmly above the key support of 109.00.
Meanwhile, Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to formulate a new tariff plan on a legal footing. Investors consider this as a fresh escalation in the path towards a global trade war.
In the Canadian region, investors expect the labor market to have witnessed a fresh addition of 25K workers in December, almost half the number of job-seekers hired in November. The Unemployment Rate is seen accelerating to 6.9% from 6.8%. Signs of a slowdown in the labor demand would boost expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will continue easing the monetary policy at a larger-than-usual pace of 50 basis points (bps).
The Nonfarm Payrolls release presents the number of new jobs created in the US during the previous month in all non-agricultural businesses; it is released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile. The number is also subject to strong reviews, which can also trigger volatility in the Forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish, although previous months' reviews and the Unemployment Rate are as relevant as the headline figure. The market's reaction, therefore, depends on how the market assesses all the data contained in the BLS report as a whole.
Read more.Next release: Fri Jan 10, 2025 13:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 154K
Previous: 227K
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
America's monthly jobs report is considered the most important economic indicator for forex traders. Released on the first Friday following the reported month, the change in the number of positions is closely correlated with the overall performance of the economy and is monitored by policymakers. Full employment is one of the Federal Reserve's mandates and it considers developments in the labor market when setting its policies, thus impacting currencies. Despite several leading indicators shaping estimates, Nonfarm Payrolls tend to surprise markets and trigger substantial volatility. Actual figures beating the consensus tend to be USD bullish.
Created
: 2025.01.09
Last updated
: 2025.01.09
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy