Select Language

GBP/JPY surrenders major part of intraday gains to one-week top, back below mid-197.00s

Breaking news

GBP/JPY surrenders major part of intraday gains to one-week top, back below mid-197.00s

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.01.07 17:31
GBP/JPY surrenders major part of intraday gains to one-week top, back below mid-197.00s

update 2025.01.07 17:31

  • GBP/JPY retreats after touching a one-week high earlier this Tuesday.
  • Intervention warning prompts JPY short-covering and exerts pressure.
  • BoJ rate hike uncertainty should cap the JPY and support spot prices.

The GBP/JPY cross attracts some intraday sellers following an early move up to the 198.25 area, or a one-week top and retreats to the lower end of its daily range during the first half of the European session. Spot prices slide back below the mid-197.00s amid the emergence of some buying around the Japanese Yen (JPY), though the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bearish traders. 

Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato was out with some verbal intervention and reiterated that the government will take appropriate action against excessive FX moves, including those driven by speculators. Furthermore, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda left the door open for a rate hike at the January or March policy meeting. This, along with the cautious market mood, offers some support to the safe-haven JPY and exerts some downward pressure on the GBP/JPY cross. 

Investors, however, remain sceptical about the likely timing of when the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike rates again, which, in turn, might hold back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, draws support from a modest US Dollar (USD) weakness and might contribute to limiting any meaningful downside for the GBP/JPY cross. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that spot prices have formed a near-term top. 

Moving ahead, traders now look forward to the release of the UK Construction PMI, which might influence the GBP and provide some impetus to spot prices. The immediate market reaction, however, is likely to be short-lived, suggesting that the GBP/JPY cross remains at the mercy of the JPY price dynamics. 

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

 


Date

Created

 : 2025.01.07

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.01.07

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a 0.5590/0.5705 range for now - UOB Group

Current price movements appear to be part of a range trading phase, expected to be between 0.5615 and 0.5665. In the longer run, NZD is likely to trade in a 0.5590/0.5705 range for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
New
update2025.01.08 18:41

Metals: Market is weighing the outlook for the year - ING

Industrial metals have had a muted start to 2025 with the market weighing the outlook for the year amid geopolitical tensions, the uncertain path for China's economic recovery and rising protectionism, ING's commodity analyst Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
New
update2025.01.08 18:36

Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2025.01.08 18:30

EUR/GBP advances to near 0.8300 following German Retail Sales

EUR/GBP retraces its recent losses from the previous day, trading around 0.8290 during the European session on Wednesday.
New
update2025.01.08 18:28

AUD/USD: Downward momentum is likely to result in a lower trading range - UOB Group

Slight increase in downward momentum is likely to result in a lower trading range of 0.6215/0.6265. In the longer run, for the time being, AUD is expected to trade between 0.6180 and 0.6310, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
New
update2025.01.08 18:14

Gold: China's central bank buys more Gold - ING

China's central bank added to its Gold reserves for a second month in December, ING's commodity analyst Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
New
update2025.01.08 18:10

GBP/USD: Expected to trade between 1.2440 and 1.2535 - UOB Group

GBP is expected to trade sideways between 1.2440 and 1.2535. In the longer run, GBP is expected to trade in a range, likely between 1.2420 and 1.2620, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
New
update2025.01.08 18:05

Oil: More obstacles for Iranian crude - ING

ICE Brent pushed above US$77/bbl yesterday with sentiment still largely supportive following a stronger physical market, ING's commodity analyst Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
New
update2025.01.08 18:00

EUR/USD: Chance to edge lower and test 1.0320 - UOB Group

The Euro (EUR) could edge lower and test 1.0320; the major support at 1.0300 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, bias for EUR is tilted to the upside; any advance is likely part of a higher trading range of 1.0300/1.0465, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
New
update2025.01.08 17:55

USD/CAD remains steady around 1.4350 ahead of FOMC Meeting Minutes

USD/CAD retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 1.4350 during the European hours on Wednesday.
New
update2025.01.08 17:30

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel