Select Language

NZD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.5650 amid quiet session

Breaking news

NZD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.5650 amid quiet session

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.12.30 15:14
NZD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.5650 amid quiet session

update 2024.12.30 15:14

  • NZD/USD gains momentum to around 0.5655 in Monday's early European session. 
  • RBNZ dovish bets might undermine the Kiwi, but fresh Chinese stimulus measures could help limit its losses.
  • The Fed hinted it probably would cut rates twice more next year. 

The NZD/USD pair climbs to near 0.5655 during the early European session on Monday. Nonetheless, the expectations of more aggressive monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) might cap the upside for the Kiwi. The markets are likely to trade in a quiet session amid light post-holiday trading. 

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under strong bearish pressure due to the dovish bets from the RBNZ. Currently, markets are now pricing in a nearly 65% probability that the New Zealand central bank will lower the cash rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 4.25% at its February meeting.

However, the latest in a series of Chinese government measures aimed at increasing private consumption might boost the China-proxy Kiwi as China is a major trading partner for New Zealand. China's central government stated that it will offer handouts to people struggling with the cost of living and vowed more benefits for some unemployed people ahead of a key national holiday, Xinhua News Agency reported, citing a notice from the Ministry of Civil Affairs.

On the USD's front, the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered the interest rates at its December meeting, as expected, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell said more reductions in borrowing costs now hinge on further progress in lowering stubbornly high inflation. Additionally, the latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), or "dot plot", indicated the US central bank's intention to reduce the number of interest rate cuts next year from four to just two quarter-percent reductions. The prospects for the Fed's cautious stance are likely to support the Greenback and act as a headwind for NZD/USD. 

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.12.30

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.12.30

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Climbs but struggles at 1.0400

The EUR/USD increased over 0.78%, boosted by an article in The Washington Post mentioning three US President-elect Trump aides and saying that tariffs will be applied, focusing on specific sectors.
New
update2025.01.07 05:07

Gold stagnates amid rising US yields and US Dollar downturn

Gold prices remained flat at the beginning of the week even though the Greenback is getting battered.
New
update2025.01.07 05:00

Forex Today: Greenback takes a step back on Monday

The US Dollar eased on Monday, giving other currencies a chance to recover some much-needed ground as markets gear up for another US NFP jobs print due at the end of the week.
New
update2025.01.07 04:43

Fed's Barr to resign early to avert a potential "dispute" over his post

Federal Reserve (Fed) Board Member and Vice Chair for Supervision will be stepping down from his regulatory role.
New
update2025.01.07 04:32

Canadian Dollar rebounds despite PM Trudeau resignation

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) caught some wind in its sales on Monday, lifted from recent lows by a market-wide easing in US Dollar flows.
New
update2025.01.07 04:21

Dow Jones Industrial Average lurches higher as investors brush off PMI miss

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) extended into the bullish side to kick off the new trading week, clipping back over the 43,000 handle and lurching 300 points higher after a Washington Post article suggested that incoming President Donald Trump and his team may be considering a more nuanced approach to widespread tariffs the President-elect has threatened to impose shortly after taking office.
New
update2025.01.07 02:45

Mexican Peso rallies, unfazed by Trump tariff comments

The Mexican Peso begins the week positively, appreciating against the US Dollar on Monday after The Washington Post reported that Trump aides are only considering tariffs on "certain sectors", a less harsh policy than floated earlier.
New
update2025.01.07 02:41

EE.UU.: El PMI de servicios mejora a 56.8 en diciembre pero no alcanza los 58.5 puntos esperados

El PMI de servicios de S&P Global para Estados Unidos ha subido a 56.8 puntos desde los 56.1 de noviembre, su nivel más alto desde marzo de 2022.
New
update2025.01.07 00:33

GBP/USD swings amid US tariff speculation, Trump comments

The Pound Sterling begins the week on the front foot against the US Dollar after news emerged that US President-elect Trump's aides are considering tariffs on "certain sectors," according to the Washington Post.
New
update2025.01.06 23:56

US President-elect Trump: Washington Post story that I'll pare back my tariff policy is wrong

In response to the Washington Post story that said US President-elect Donald Trump's aides are considering tariffs that would be applied to every country but only cover critical imports, Trump said it was wrong.
New
update2025.01.06 23:30

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel