Select Language

USD/CHF Price Prediction: Uptrend in doubt as bad omens make an appearance

Breaking news

USD/CHF Price Prediction: Uptrend in doubt as bad omens make an appearance

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.28 23:57
USD/CHF Price Prediction: Uptrend in doubt as bad omens make an appearance

update 2024.11.28 23:57

  • USD/CHF has broken below a key level bringing the uptrend into doubt. 
  • Other band omens are also appearing suggesting the possibility of a bearish shift in the trend.

USD/CHF is at risk of tipping into a downtrend and reversing its short and medium-term bull trend, as it extends its pullback below a key level. Other "bad omens" also make their appearance on the price chart, suggesting a risk of more downside. 

USD/CHF Daily Chart 

USD/CHF has found support at the (green) 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8822 and although it could still mount a recovery from its current level and thereby rescue the uptrend, the evidence is building for a possible reversal and start of new downtrend. Given "the trend is your friend" such a reversal would suggest a bearish bias then dominating.

The pair has broken below the key 0.8801 November 9 swing low and although it failed to close below the level, the breach is still a bearish indication. 

The pair formed a Two-Bar reversal pattern (red rectangle on chart) at the November 22 and 23 highs which is bearish. This happens when a long green candle that reaches a peak is followed by a long red candle of a similar size. It is a sign of a reversal in sentiment and a signal of more downside to follow.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator has formed a Double Top pattern (red ellipse) which is bearish for momentum and consequently also price. 

A break below the 0.8797 November 27 low would confirm a change in the short-term trend and more downside to targets at 0.8748 (August 14 high), and 0.8615 (November 4 low). 

That said, if price remains above the November 27 low and recovers, it could signal a resumption of the uptrend. 

If so, a break above the 0.8958 November 22 high would probably confirm a continuation up to the next target at 0.9000 (round number and psychological area), followed by 0.9050 (July 2 swing high). 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.28

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.28

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Bears rejected pair at 20-day and 200-day SMA convergence

The EUR/CAD fell by 0.30% on Thursday, reaching approximately 1.4770.
New
update2024.11.29 00:52

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Consolidates near weekly highs on Thanksgiving

The GBP/USD consolidates at around weekly highs, posting modest losses of 0.05% at around 1.2670 due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets remain closed for Thanksgiving.
New
update2024.11.29 00:29

USD/CHF Price Prediction: Uptrend in doubt as bad omens make an appearance

USD/CHF is at risk of tipping into a downtrend and reversing its short and medium-term bull trend, as it extends its pullback below a key level.
New
update2024.11.28 23:56

EUR/JPY edges higher on Eurozone inflation expectations but bearish pressures remain

EUR/JPY edges higher to just below the 160.00 level on Thursday after survey data released by the European Commission suggested stubborn inflation expectations might keep interest rates more elevated than previously thought in the Eurozone.
New
update2024.11.28 23:29

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD bounces back strongly on fresh escalation in Russia-Ukraine war

Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers its intraday losses and ticks up to nearly $30.15 in the North American session on Thursday after posting a fresh 11-week low around $29.65.
New
update2024.11.28 23:19

Germany annual CPI inflation rises to 2.2% in November vs. 2.3% expected

Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 2.2% on a yearly basis in November from 2% in September, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Thursday.
New
update2024.11.28 22:05

US Dollar steady with Thanksgiving underway

The US Dollar (USD) trades overall marginally higher against most major pairs on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback's value against six major currencies, bouncing back above 106.00 after a sharp sell-off the prior day, in what is expected to be a very calm remaining two trading days for the week with Thanksgiving and Black Friday taking place.
New
update2024.11.28 21:42

AUD/NZD Price Prediction: Three Black Crows reversal pattern a bearish omen

AUD/NZD has completed a Three Black Crows candlestick pattern (red rectangle on chart) after peaking at the November 25 multi-month high.
New
update2024.11.28 21:02

Gold continues shallow recovery on Fed rate-cut bets

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its shallow recovery from Tuesday's lows as it trades in the $2,640s on Thursday.
New
update2024.11.28 20:51

Crude Oil steady after Biden calls Gaza ceasefire permanent

Crude Oil trades rather steady this Thursday with selling pressure building after US President Joe Biden called the recent active ceasefire deal in Gaza as a permanent cessation of hostilities, Bloomberg reports.
New
update2024.11.28 20:39

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel