Select Language

US Dollar gains broadly with US inflation data in focus

Breaking news

US Dollar gains broadly with US inflation data in focus

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.12 03:19
US Dollar gains broadly with US inflation data in focus

update 2024.11.12 03:19

  • US Dollar gains on Monday with the DXY above 105.50.
  • The fundamental Greenback uptrend remains intact as the US economy continues to outperform other advanced economies.
  • Key data releases this week include the US October CPI on Wednesday and Retail sales on Friday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six currencies, is broadly gaining in Monday's session. The focus for traders is now on the US inflation data for October, which will be released later this week. A strong inflation reading could further boost the US Dollar as it would increase expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might slow the pace of interest rate easing.

The DXY initially rose last Friday after positive UoM consumer confidence data and the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) announcement of a 25 bps rate cut. Despite concerns over easing labor market conditions, the Fed expressed optimism about economic growth. 

Daily digest market movers: US Dollar continues rising toward multi-month highs

  • The fundamental US Dollar uptrend remains intact despite Trump's victory stalling the currency.
  • The US economy is outperforming other advanced economies and is in a "sweet spot."
  • The prospect of looser fiscal policy under Trump and limited Fed easing room point to a stronger Greenback.
  • The US October CPI on Wednesday and Retail Sales on Friday, are this week's data highlights.
  • There are also plenty of Fed speakers throughout the week including Chair Powell on Thursday.
  • Growth remains solid in Q4 with the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model's estimate for Q4 GDP standing at 2.5% SAAR.
  • The New York Fed's Nowcast model is tracking Q4 growth at 2.1% SAAR.

DXY technical outlook:  Bulls gather momentum but approach overbought conditions

The DXY index advanced above the key resistance at 105.50 on Monday, reaching levels last seen in July. This bullish move has been supported by technical indicators that remain in positive territory. 

However, the indicators are approaching overbought levels, suggesting that the index may be due for a correction in the near term. Traders should monitor the index closely to see if it can maintain its momentum or if it will pull back in the coming days.

 

US Dollar FAQs

The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the 'de facto' currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world's reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.

The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed's 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed's weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.12

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.12

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pair saw a volatile session, high near 20-day SMA then retreated

The NZD/USD saw a volatile session on Friday, initially soaring to a high around 0.5970 near the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) before erasing all the gains towards 0.5850.
New
update2024.11.16 06:48

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains bearish biased, dips below $30.30

Silver's price fell over 0.70% beneath $30.30 after robust US Retail Sales data suggested the Federal Reserve could gradually ease policy.
New
update2024.11.16 06:31

Gold marks sixth-day of losses on Powell's slightly hawkish rhetoric

Gold prices extended their losses for the sixth straight day, set to achieve weekly losses of over 4%, the largest since September 2023.
New
update2024.11.16 06:12

Canadian Dollar crumples even further on Friday

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) found fresh lows on Friday as broader markets continues to pivot into the safe haven Greenback.
New
update2024.11.16 05:11

Australian Dollar finishes the week with a rebound as the USD eases

The AUD/USD pair rose by 0.20% to 0.6460 in Friday's session.
New
update2024.11.16 05:08

Mexican Peso gains despite Moody's negative outlook

The Mexican Peso recovered some ground against the US Dollar during the North American session, shrugging off Moody's adjustment on Mexico's credit outlook and upbeat US Retail Sales data.
New
update2024.11.16 04:41

Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbles over 350 points on Friday

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trimmed it's recent bull run, declining over 350 points and giving back roughly 0.85% as investors grapple with an increasingly uncertain future.
New
update2024.11.16 04:28

Fed's Goolsbee: The Fed needs to focus on longer trends.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Friday that markets tend to overreact to interest rate changes, and that the Fed should maintain a slow and steady approach to reaching the neutral rate.
New
update2024.11.16 04:11

US Dollar eases five-day winning streak on profit-taking

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six currencies, failed to secure a sixth consecutive day of gains in a volatile trading Friday.
New
update2024.11.16 03:27

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Stumbles on soft UK data, bears target 1.2600

The Pound Sterling extends its agony and printing losses for the sixth straight day against the Greenback.
New
update2024.11.16 01:30

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel