Select Language

USD/CHF gathers strength above 0.8750 amid the rally in US Dollar

Breaking news

USD/CHF gathers strength above 0.8750 amid the rally in US Dollar

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.11 15:46
USD/CHF gathers strength above 0.8750 amid the rally in US Dollar

update 2024.11.11 15:46

  • USD/CHF climbs to near 0.8770 in Monday's early European session. 
  • The victory of Donald Trump in the US presidential elections provides some support to the USD. 
  • SNB's Martin said the central bank had made "absolutely no commitment" to its future course of action. 

The USD/CHF pair extends its upside to around 0.8770, the highest since August 1 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The upward movement of the pair is bolstered by the strength of the US Dollar (USD) as traders await the US inflation data and Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers this week. 

Analysts expect that Trump's policies would put upward pressure on US inflation and bond yields while slowing the Fed's path to ease policy. This, in turn, lifts the Greenback against the Swiss Franc (CHF). "Given this, we still expect that the Fed will cut another 25bp at the December meeting, but thereafter will only cut once per quarter, in contrast to our previous forecast for a 25bp cut every meeting," said JPMorgan economist Michael Feroli.

Traders will take more cues from the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is due on Wednesday. The headline CPI is expected to show an increase of 2.6% YoY in October, while the core CPI is estimated to show a rise of 3.3% YoY during the same period. In case of the hotter-than-expected outcome, this could further reduce the possibility of a December rate reduction, supporting the USD. 

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) Vice Chairman Antoine Martin said on Monday that the central bank is not locked into more interest rate cuts in December, adding that everything will depend on conditions when we assess the situation in December. The markets anticipate the SNB to cut at least 25 basis points (bps) from the current 1% level at its next meeting on December 12.

Swiss Franc FAQs

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is Switzerland's official currency. It is among the top ten most traded currencies globally, reaching volumes that well exceed the size of the Swiss economy. Its value is determined by the broad market sentiment, the country's economic health or action taken by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), among other factors. Between 2011 and 2015, the Swiss Franc was pegged to the Euro (EUR). The peg was abruptly removed, resulting in a more than 20% increase in the Franc's value, causing a turmoil in markets. Even though the peg isn't in force anymore, CHF fortunes tend to be highly correlated with the Euro ones due to the high dependency of the Swiss economy on the neighboring Eurozone.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is considered a safe-haven asset, or a currency that investors tend to buy in times of market stress. This is due to the perceived status of Switzerland in the world: a stable economy, a strong export sector, big central bank reserves or a longstanding political stance towards neutrality in global conflicts make the country's currency a good choice for investors fleeing from risks. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen CHF value against other currencies that are seen as more risky to invest in.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) meets four times a year - once every quarter, less than other major central banks - to decide on monetary policy. The bank aims for an annual inflation rate of less than 2%. When inflation is above target or forecasted to be above target in the foreseeable future, the bank will attempt to tame price growth by raising its policy rate. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Swiss Franc (CHF) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken CHF.

Macroeconomic data releases in Switzerland are key to assessing the state of the economy and can impact the Swiss Franc's (CHF) valuation. The Swiss economy is broadly stable, but any sudden change in economic growth, inflation, current account or the central bank's currency reserves have the potential to trigger moves in CHF. Generally, high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence are good for CHF. Conversely, if economic data points to weakening momentum, CHF is likely to depreciate.

As a small and open economy, Switzerland is heavily dependent on the health of the neighboring Eurozone economies. The broader European Union is Switzerland's main economic partner and a key political ally, so macroeconomic and monetary policy stability in the Eurozone is essential for Switzerland and, thus, for the Swiss Franc (CHF). With such dependency, some models suggest that the correlation between the fortunes of the Euro (EUR) and the CHF is more than 90%, or close to perfect.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.11

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.11

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pair saw a volatile session, high near 20-day SMA then retreated

The NZD/USD saw a volatile session on Friday, initially soaring to a high around 0.5970 near the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) before erasing all the gains towards 0.5850.
New
update2024.11.16 06:48

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains bearish biased, dips below $30.30

Silver's price fell over 0.70% beneath $30.30 after robust US Retail Sales data suggested the Federal Reserve could gradually ease policy.
New
update2024.11.16 06:31

Gold marks sixth-day of losses on Powell's slightly hawkish rhetoric

Gold prices extended their losses for the sixth straight day, set to achieve weekly losses of over 4%, the largest since September 2023.
New
update2024.11.16 06:12

Canadian Dollar crumples even further on Friday

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) found fresh lows on Friday as broader markets continues to pivot into the safe haven Greenback.
New
update2024.11.16 05:11

Australian Dollar finishes the week with a rebound as the USD eases

The AUD/USD pair rose by 0.20% to 0.6460 in Friday's session.
New
update2024.11.16 05:08

Mexican Peso gains despite Moody's negative outlook

The Mexican Peso recovered some ground against the US Dollar during the North American session, shrugging off Moody's adjustment on Mexico's credit outlook and upbeat US Retail Sales data.
New
update2024.11.16 04:41

Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbles over 350 points on Friday

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trimmed it's recent bull run, declining over 350 points and giving back roughly 0.85% as investors grapple with an increasingly uncertain future.
New
update2024.11.16 04:28

Fed's Goolsbee: The Fed needs to focus on longer trends.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Friday that markets tend to overreact to interest rate changes, and that the Fed should maintain a slow and steady approach to reaching the neutral rate.
New
update2024.11.16 04:11

US Dollar eases five-day winning streak on profit-taking

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six currencies, failed to secure a sixth consecutive day of gains in a volatile trading Friday.
New
update2024.11.16 03:27

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Stumbles on soft UK data, bears target 1.2600

The Pound Sterling extends its agony and printing losses for the sixth straight day against the Greenback.
update2024.11.16 01:30

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel