Select Language

NZD/USD weakens below 0.6050 on fear of new Trump trade wars amid tariff threats

Breaking news

NZD/USD weakens below 0.6050 on fear of new Trump trade wars amid tariff threats

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.08 09:13
NZD/USD weakens below 0.6050 on fear of new Trump trade wars amid tariff threats

update 2024.11.08 09:13

  • NZD/USD softens to around 0.6020 in Friday's early Asian session. 
  • The 25 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Fed on Thursday was widely expected.
  • Donald Trump's proposals to raise tariffs could drag the Kiwi lower against the USD. 

The NZD/USD pair trades with a mild negative bias near 0.6020 during the early Asian session on Friday. The concerns about Donald Trump's proposals to raise tariffs might cap the upside for the Kiwi in the near term. Investors await the release of advanced US Michigan Consumer Sentiment, which is due later on Friday. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) Michelle Bowman is also set to speak. 

The US central bank trimmed interest rates by a quarter point, bringing the target rate range to 4.50%-4.75%. The Fed hints that another interest rate cut is likely coming, but the timing remains uncertain. The markets are now pricing in nearly 75% possibility the Fed will cut rates again in December, up from 69% on Wednesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool.

On the Kiwi front, traders speculate Trump will reset trade relations with China, headlining a 60% import tariff on all Chinese goods, which undermines the China-proxy New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against the Greenback as China is a major trading partner to New Zealand. 

Additionally, the rising bets of an aggressive rate-cut cycle by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) might contribute to the NZD's downside for the time being. The RBNZ is expected to cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 50 bps in the November meeting, with a supersize 75 bps cut an outside possibility.

New Zealand Dollar FAQs

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country's central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand's biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand's main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors' appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD/USD pair.

Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called 'commodity currencies' such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.08

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.08

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

FX option expiries for Nov 8 NY cut

FX option expiries for Nov 8 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
New
update2024.11.08 15:00

USD/CHF edges higher above 0.8700 amid renewed US Dollar demand

The USD/CHF pair drifts higher to around 0.8730 during the early European session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.08 14:52

EUR/JPY drops to two-week low around mid-164.00s, lacks follow-through selling

The EUR/JPY cross remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day and drops to a two-week low, around mid-164.00s during the Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.08 14:16

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls toward $31.50 amid improved US Dollar, yields

Silver price (XAG/USD) loses ground to near $31.70 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Friday.
New
update2024.11.08 14:09

India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
New
update2024.11.08 13:36

EUR/USD tumbles below 1.0800 on Trump's tariff plan

The EUR/USD pair plunges to near 1.0780 amid the renewed US Dollar (USD) demand on Friday during the Asian trading hours.
New
update2024.11.08 13:35

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Faces rejection near 100-day SMA, holds above mid-1.2900s

The GBP/USD pair struggles to build on the previous day's positive move and faces rejection near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) during the Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.08 13:31

NZD/USD depreciates to near 0.6000 due to Trump's tariff threat on Chinese goods

NZD/USD depreciates as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) receives downward pressure from the concerns about Donald Trump's proposals to raise tariffs on Chinese goods, given that New Zealand is a close trading partner to China.
New
update2024.11.08 12:39

Gold price slides back below $2,700 mark amid modest USD strength

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's solid rebound from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support near the $2,643 area, or over a three-week low and attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.08 12:38

Japan's Kato: Will closely monitor impact of Trump's policies on Japan's economy

Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato on Friday that he "will closely monitor the impact of Trump's policies on Japan's economy." Additional quotes Won't comment on forex levels.
New
update2024.11.08 12:21

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel