Select Language

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds above $31.50 ahead of Fed policy decision

Breaking news

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds above $31.50 ahead of Fed policy decision

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.07 22:25
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds above $31.50 ahead of Fed policy decision

update 2024.11.07 22:25

  • Silver price recovers slightly after a bloodbath on Wednesday with Fed policy on the horizon.
  • The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps to 4.50%-4.75%.
  • Silver price sees key support near $29.00 if it weakens further.

Silver price (XAG/USD) bounces back above $31.00 in Thursday's North American session after a sharp nosedive move on Wednesday. The white metal stays vigilant with investors focusing on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy decision, which will be announced at 19:00 GMT.

The Fed is widely anticipated to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.50%-4.75%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. This would be the second interest rate cut by the Fed this year. The Fed started the policy-easing cycle in September, however, the rate-cut size was 50 bps.

Ahead of the Fed's policy, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges Greenback's value against six major currencies, tumbles to near 104.60. The USD index retraces almost half of Wednesday's rally, which was inspired by Republican Donald Trump's victory in United States (US) presidential elections. 10-year US Treasury yields drop to near 4.41%.

Investors will pay close attention to the press conference of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech to get cues about the impact of Trump's victory on inflation and the interest rate outlook. Trump vowed to raise import tariffs and lower corporate taxes, which could boost inflationary pressures and labor demand.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price slides to near $31.00 after breaking below the horizontal support plotted from the May 21 high of $32.50. The near-term trend of the Silver price has turned bearish as it has dropped below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $31.60.

The asset could find support near the upward-sloping trendline around $29.00, plotted from the February 28 low of $22.30.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) dives to near 40.00. Should RSI (14) fall below 40.00, a bearish momentum will be triggered.

Silver daily chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply - Silver is much more abundant than Gold - and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals - more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers' demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.07

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.07

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/USD drops to near 0.5800 due to the dovish mood surrounding the RBNZ policy outlook

NZD/USD extends its losing streak for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.5830 during the European hours on Friday.
New
update2024.11.22 16:28

EUR/GBP gathers strength above 0.8300 after downbeat UK Retail Sales data

The EUR/GBP cross gains momentum to near 0.8330 during the early European session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.22 16:17

GBP/JPY holds ground near 194.50 following disappointing UK Retail Sales, PMI awaited

GBP/JPY remains steady around 194.50 during the early European hours, following the lower-than-expected UK Retail Sales figures for October released on Friday.
New
update2024.11.22 16:15

UK Retail Sales decline 0.7% on a monthly basis in October vs. -0.3% expected

The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported on Friday that Retail Sales declined 0.7% on a monthly basis in October.
New
update2024.11.22 16:06

Forex Today: US Dollar climbs higher as focus shifts to PMI data

Here is what you need to know on Friday, November 22: Following a quiet European session, the US Dollar (USD) regathered its strength in the second half of the day on Thursday and continued to push higher early Friday, reaching its highest level since October 2023 above 107.00.
New
update2024.11.22 15:50

AUD/JPY falls below 100.50 as the likelihood of a BoJ rate hike next month revives

AUD/JPY continues its decline, nearing 100.30 during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
New
update2024.11.22 15:07

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bulls have the upper hand while above mid-1.3900s pivotal support

The USD/CAD pair edges higher during the Asian session on Friday, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below the 1.4000 psychological mark amid mixed cues.
New
update2024.11.22 14:38

USD/CHF weakens to near 0.8850 ahead of US PMI data

The USD/CHF pair trades with mild losses around 0.8860 during the early European session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.22 14:32

EUR/USD depreciates to yearly lows near 1.0450, awaits PMIs from both nations

EUR/USD remains on a downward trend for the third consecutive session, hovering around 1.0470 during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
New
update2024.11.22 13:44

EUR/JPY bounces off multi-month low, down a little around 161.70 ahead of Eurozone PMIs

The EUR/JPY cross attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and drops to its lowest level since October 4 during the Asian session on Friday, albeit it managed to rebound a few pips thereafter.
New
update2024.11.22 13:37

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel