Created
: 2024.11.06
2024.11.06 13:31
The EUR/USD pair comes under intense selling pressure on Wednesday and dives to its lowest level since early July, around the 1.0720-1.0715 region during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, manage to recover a few pips in the last hour and currently trade just above mid-1.0700s, still down 1.50% for the day.
The US Dollar (USD) catches aggressive bids and spikes to a four-month peak amid rising odds of a victory for former President Donald Trump, which, in turn, is seen weighing heavily on the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, a Republican sweep could see the launch of potentially inflation-generating tariffs. This, along with deficit-spending concerns and bets for a less aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), pushes the US Treasury bond yields sharply higher and favors the USD bulls.
In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond surges over 15 points at 4.44%, hitting its highest level since July 2, and validates the near-term positive outlook for the Greenback. That said, the risk-on impulse - as depicted by a strong bullish sentiment across the global equity markets, holds back the USD bulls from placing fresh bets and helps limit further losses for the EUR/USD pair amid rising bets for a less dovish European Central Bank (ECB).
Data released last week showed that inflation in the Eurozone rose to 2% in October. Furthermore, the better-than-expected GDP growth figures from the Eurozone's largest economies suggest that the ECB will stick to a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut at its next policy meeting in December. This, in turn, could offer some support to the EUR/USD pair, though a sustained break and acceptance below the 1.0800 mark suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside.
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.
USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD | 1.58% | 1.08% | 1.52% | 0.59% | 1.71% | 1.24% | 1.07% | |
EUR | -1.58% | -0.48% | -0.03% | -0.96% | 0.13% | -0.34% | -0.50% | |
GBP | -1.08% | 0.48% | 0.44% | -0.48% | 0.61% | 0.15% | -0.02% | |
JPY | -1.52% | 0.03% | -0.44% | -0.93% | 0.17% | -0.31% | -0.46% | |
CAD | -0.59% | 0.96% | 0.48% | 0.93% | 1.10% | 0.64% | 0.47% | |
AUD | -1.71% | -0.13% | -0.61% | -0.17% | -1.10% | -0.47% | -0.62% | |
NZD | -1.24% | 0.34% | -0.15% | 0.31% | -0.64% | 0.47% | -0.16% | |
CHF | -1.07% | 0.50% | 0.02% | 0.46% | -0.47% | 0.62% | 0.16% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
Created
: 2024.11.06
Last updated
: 2024.11.06
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