Select Language

Forex Today: Markets turn cautious ahead of US data, Gold nears record-high

Breaking news

Forex Today: Markets turn cautious ahead of US data, Gold nears record-high

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.29 16:06
Forex Today: Markets turn cautious ahead of US data, Gold nears record-high

update 2024.10.29 16:06

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, October 29:

Financial markets seem to have adopted a cautious tone following Monday's choppy action. The US economic calendar will feature Goods Trade Balance and JOLTS Job Openings data for September, alongside the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for October. 

Investors refrain from taking large positions while gearing up for key risk events. Later in the week, third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index figures for September and October employment report from the US will be scrutinized by market participants, who will also keep a close eye on key earnings reports heading into the US presidential election. After closing the first trading day of the week virtually unchanged, the US Dollar (USD) Index continues to move sideways above 104.00. Meanwhile, US stock index futures trade mixed in the early European session.

US Dollar PRICE Last 7 days

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies last 7 days. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.04% 0.12% 1.45% 0.42% 1.34% 0.88% -0.07%
EUR -0.04%   0.08% 1.44% 0.37% 1.28% 0.85% -0.11%
GBP -0.12% -0.08%   1.35% 0.30% 1.20% 0.76% -0.19%
JPY -1.45% -1.44% -1.35%   -1.03% -0.13% -0.59% -1.52%
CAD -0.42% -0.37% -0.30% 1.03%   0.92% 0.46% -0.49%
AUD -1.34% -1.28% -1.20% 0.13% -0.92%   -0.45% -1.40%
NZD -0.88% -0.85% -0.76% 0.59% -0.46% 0.45%   -0.94%
CHF 0.07% 0.11% 0.19% 1.52% 0.49% 1.40% 0.94%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

USD/JPY started the week with a bullish gap as markets reacted to political developments in Japan. After reaching its highest level since late July near 154.00 in the Asian trading hours on Monday, the pair staged a downward correction and closed the day near 153.30. Early Tuesday, USD/JPY continues to edge lower and trades slightly below 153.00. Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Tuesday that he is closely watching the moves in foreign exchange markets with a higher sense of vigilance, including those driven by speculators. In the meantime, the data from Japan showed that the Unemployment Rate declined to 2.4% in September from 2.5%. 

EUR/USD closed marginally higher on Monday and seems to have entered a consolidation phase slightly above 1.0800 on Tuesday. The European Central Bank (ECB)  Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Monday that the central bank has made significant progress in bringing down inflation but added that they can't declare victory just yet.

GBP/USD failed to gather directional momentum and ended the first day of the week flat. The pair extends its sideways grind above 1.2950 in the European morning. The Bank of England (BoE) will release Consumer Credit data for September later in the session.

AUD/USD posted daily losses on Monday and extended its slide early Tuesday. In the Asian session on Wednesday, third-quarter Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Australia will be watched closely by investors. At the time of press, the pair was down 0.2% at 0.6570.

Gold benefited from the souring risk mood and registered small gains on Monday. XAU/USD holds its ground early Tuesday and trades within a touching distance of the all-time high it set at $2,758 last Wednesday.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms "risk-on" and "risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a "risk-on" market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a "risk-off" market investors start to 'play it safe' because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of "risk-on", stock markets will rise, most commodities - except Gold - will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a "risk-off" market, Bonds go up - especially major government Bonds - Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are "risk-on". This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of "risk-off" are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world's reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them - even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.29

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Pair tumbles and eyes break of 90.00-92.00 range

The NZD/JPY pair has been on a downward trajectory for the past three days, shedding 0.27% on Friday's session to close near the 90.30 level.
New
update2024.11.23 06:57

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD surges above $31.00 as US yields fall

Silver price recovered some ground on Friday and reclaimed the $31.00 a troy ounce, boosted by falling US Treasury bond yields and despite a firm US Dollar.
New
update2024.11.23 06:31

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pair fell to lowest level since November, bears command

The NZD/USD pair extended its losses on Friday, declining by 0.54% to 0.5830, its lowest level since early November.
New
update2024.11.23 06:18

Canadian Dollar loses momentum on Friday

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) waffled into the midrange on Friday, testing into the low side but ultimately getting hamstrung as Canadian data comes in mixed and gets overshadowed by sentiment-bolstering US data prints.
New
update2024.11.23 05:47

Australian Dollar retreats as US Dollar gains momentum after S&P PMI data

The AUD/USD declined just below 0.6500 as the market is focused on the US Dollar's strength.
New
update2024.11.23 05:07

Gold price reaches two-week peak as US yields fall, geopolitical tensions rise

Gold price rallies to a new two-week high on Friday during the North American session as US Treasury bond yields drop.
New
update2024.11.23 04:55

Dow Jones Industrial Average soars another 350 points

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has snapped its recent soft patch, extending its midweek bullish pivot into a firm Friday performance.
New
update2024.11.23 03:56

US Dollar retraces from two-year high after PMI data, geopolitical uncertainty prevails

In Friday's session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) declined slightly after reaching a new two-year high amidst geopolitical instability.
New
update2024.11.23 03:08

Mexican Peso slumps, shrugging off solid data

The Mexican Peso retreats for the third straight day versus the US Dollar, although economic data suggests the country's economy grew in the third quarter while inflation edged lower.
New
update2024.11.23 02:37

A (local) peak in Gold is now imminent - TDS

The downturn in Gold prices underscored by sharp liquidations from macro funds lined up exceptionally well with historical patterns surrounding drawdowns associated with macro fund liquidations from extreme levels, averaging between 7-10% over the last decade, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
New
update2024.11.23 01:02

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel