Select Language

USD/JPY attracts some sellers below 153.00, potential downside seems limited

Breaking news

USD/JPY attracts some sellers below 153.00, potential downside seems limited

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.29 10:00
USD/JPY attracts some sellers below 153.00, potential downside seems limited

update 2024.10.29 10:00

  • USD/JPY loses ground to near 152.95 in Tuesday's early Asian session, down 0.22% on the day. 
  • Political and monetary policy uncertainty in Japan weighs on the Japanese Yen. 
  • The prospect of less aggressive policy easing by the Fed might help limit the USD's losses. 

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to around 152.95 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The pair edges lower as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from a nearly three-month high in the previous session. However, the downside for the pair might be limited amid the uncertainty surrounding the next government's makeup and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plan. 

An election loss by Japan's ruling coalition raises political and monetary policy uncertainty and might exert some selling pressure on the Japanese Yen (JPY). "The ruling LDP and its coalition partner lost their majority in the lower house, raising concerns about the shape and policy direction of the next government. Markets have also trimmed BoJ tightening expectations marginally (helping boost local stocks)," noted Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne.

The BoJ interest rate decision will take center stage on Thursday. Nearly 86% of economists polled by Reuters anticipate the Japanese central bank to leave its rates unchanged at its October meeting on Thursday. 

Elsewhere, data released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan showed on Tuesday that the country's Unemployment Rate ticked lower to 2.4% in September, down from the previous reading and the market consensus of 2.5%. 

The bets for a less aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could provide some support to the Greenback in the near term. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders have priced in a nearly 96.8% chance of a usual size rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) in November and expect a similar move in the December meeting.

Nonetheless, traders will keep an eye on the advanced US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) for September, the ISM Manufacturing PMI, and the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October, which will be released this week for fresh impetus. Any signs of weakness in the US economy or the labor market could undermine the USD against the JPY. 

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world's most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan's policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan's mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ's stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen's value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.29

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.29

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plummets as Trump's election strengthens USD

Silver price slumped sharply on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election.
New
update2024.11.07 06:55

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Buyers increase their efforts and approach 92.00

In Wednesday's session, the NZD/JPY underwent upward fluctuations, gaining 0.96% to reach 91.80 and regaining key levels.
New
update2024.11.07 06:38

Canadian Dollar retests familiar lows as markets pile into post-election push

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) snapped a recovery against the Greenback on Wednesday, slipping back into familiar multi-year low territory after markets piled back into the USD following the US presidential election, where presidential candidate Donald Trump is the clear frontrunner.
New
update2024.11.07 06:25

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bearish signals emerge as pair plunged after 20-day SMA rejection

On Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair declined sharply by 1% to 0.5945, reflecting the strengthening US dollar across the board.
New
update2024.11.07 06:18

Gold plummets to three-week low below $2,700 as Trump's victory boosts USD

Gold plunged to a three-week low below $2700 a troy ounce on Wednesday after the 2024 US Presidential election.
New
update2024.11.07 05:25

Australian Dollar down as Trump's euphoria overshadows RBA hawkishness

The AUD/USD pair plunged 1.25% to 0.6555 on Wednesday after Donald Trump's US presidential election victory sparked enthusiasm for the US Dollar.
New
update2024.11.07 05:21

Forex Today: Will the Fed add to the euphoria?

The Greenback was set for its biggest one-day gain since 2020, boosted by Trump's victory and the rising chances of a "Red Sweep." Up next is the Fed meeting, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected by investors.
New
update2024.11.07 04:07

US Dollar hits four-month high on 2024 Trump election win

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six currencies, surged to a four-month high after former US President Donald Trump secured the necessary electoral votes to become the next US president.
New
update2024.11.07 03:29

Mexican Peso sinks to two-year low after Trump's victory on US election

The Mexican Peso recovers some ground against the Greenback after hitting a two-year low.
New
update2024.11.07 03:15

Dow Jones Industrial Average soars after US election

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) surged to a fresh record on Wednesday, climbing into 43,600 after US presidential candidate looks set to sweep a victory away from Democratic nominee and current Vice President Kamala Harris.
New
update2024.11.07 03:04

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel