Select Language

Gold continues uptrend as Middle East conflict rages on

Breaking news

Gold continues uptrend as Middle East conflict rages on

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.22 18:46
Gold continues uptrend as Middle East conflict rages on

update 2024.10.22 18:46

  • Gold continues its uptrend as the conflict in the Middle East remains unabated. 
  • The changing outlook for global interest rates, however, could put a limit on Gold's upside. 
  • XAU/USD trends higher as a multi-time-frame uptrend extends. 

Gold (XAU/USD) continues higher after the briefest of pullbacks to trade once more in the $2,730s on Tuesday. The yellow metal is rallying due to increased safe-haven demand because of the intensifying conflict in the Middle East, although it has slowed its pace as bonds sell off around the world due to a revision of the outlook for global interest rates. 

From previously expecting interest rates to fall sharply, investors now see a gentler slope because unexpectedly strong US data eliminated the chances of another double-dose 50 basis point (bps) (0.50%) mega cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, reduces Gold's attractiveness as a non-interest-paying asset. 

Gold rises on safe-haven flows 

Gold rallies as investor demand for safety increases due to the worsening conflict in the Middle East. Despite the eleventh visit to the region by US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken since the start of the conflict, a cease-fire deal seems as elusive as ever.

On Tuesday morning, Hezbollah announced that it had launched rockets at two bases near Tel Aviv and one near Haifa. This followed a series of Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon and Beirut. In one Israeli strike near Beirut's Hariri Hospital, the death toll is said to have risen to 13, according to the Lebanon Ministry of Health, as per Reuters. 

On Monday, Israel stepped up its bombardment of Beirut by destroying several economic targets in an attempt to wipe out the bank that provides Hezbollah with its funding. 

An expected Israeli retaliatory attack on Iran is also back on the table after an Iranian drone penetrated Israeli air defense systems and exploded near Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's private residence over the weekend. 

Technical Analysis: Gold rallies toward next upside target

Gold continues rising in a steady uptrend on all time frames (short, medium and long) and, after breaching the $2,700 mark, it is now on its way to the next target at $2,750. 

XAU/USD Daily Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought, however, advising long-holders not to add to their positions because of an increased risk of a pullback. Should RSI close back in neutral territory, it will be a sign for long-holders to close their positions and open shorts as a deeper correction may evolve. Support lies at $2,700 (key level) and $2,685 (September high).  

Gold's overall strong uptrend, however, suggests that any corrections will likely be short-lived, and afterward, the broader bull trend will probably resume.  

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.22

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.22

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Oil market in China still markedly oversupplied in September - Commerzbank

The oil market in China was oversupplied by 930 thousand barrels per day in September, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2024.10.22 21:30

EUR/USD: Strictly rangebound above 1.08 - Scotiabank

EUR/USD trade has been a little choppy, within a limited range, so far on the session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2024.10.22 21:10

Crude oil processing in China down year on year for six months in a row - Commerzbank

Chinese oil refineries processed 58.7 million tons of crude oil in September, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2024.10.22 20:54

USD/CAD: CAD remains weak and oversold - Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has had a minor reprieve this morning as it holds little changed on the session but some 20 ticks above yesterday's low against the USD in the mid-1.38s, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2024.10.22 20:51

Oil prices decline sharply on a weekly basis - Commerzbank

The Brent oil price fell by 7.6% last week, its strongest weekly loss since early September, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2024.10.22 20:38

Crude Oil struggles to hold $70.00 as markets become more bearish

Crude Oil struggles to hold ground and orbits around the $70.00 level on Tuesday. The pressure on Oil's price comes from markets repricing the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut projections in the near future. With decreasing odds of an aggressive
New
update2024.10.22 20:30

USD remains firm but gains slow - Scotiabank

The US Dollar (usd) is trading flatter against its major currency peers as DXY gains show some--tentative--signs of stalling around the 104 area (which was the upper end of the range I suggested the DXY could reach at the start of the month as the index started to show signs of gaining momentum), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2024.10.22 20:26

AUD/USD bounces back from 0.6650 on firm RBA hawkish bets

The AUD/USD pair rebounds strongly from the key support of 0.6650 in Tuesday's European session.
New
update2024.10.22 20:22

US Dollar supported as markets cool down Fed's rate cut cycle prospects

The US Dollar (USD) slightly retraces on Tuesday following a small sprint higher on Monday that drove the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges Greenback's value against six major currencies, to a fresh 11-week high after US equities retreated from their all-time highs.
New
update2024.10.22 20:00

Silver price at 12-year high - Commerzbank

For some time, Silver lagged behind the rise in the price of Gold, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New
update2024.10.22 20:00

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel