Select Language

EUR/GBP edges lower to near 0.8350 as investors await ECB rate decision

Breaking news

EUR/GBP edges lower to near 0.8350 as investors await ECB rate decision

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.17 14:58
EUR/GBP edges lower to near 0.8350 as investors await ECB rate decision

update 2024.10.17 14:58

  • EUR/GBP softens to around 0.8355 in Thursday's early European session. 
  • The ECB is widely anticipated to reduce interest rates by 25 bps at its upcoming meeting on Thursday. 
  • Slowing inflation in the UK has boosted the BOE cut bets. 

The EUR/GBP cross trades on a weaker note around 0.8355 during the early European session on Thursday. The rising expectation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will lower interest rates again on Thursday undermines the shared currency against the Pound Sterling (GBP). 

The ECB is expected to cut the deposit rate by another quarter-point to 3.25% at its October meeting on Thursday after data showed that the rapid retreat in inflation is being accompanied by a deteriorating economy. Paul Hollingsworth, chief economist for Europe at BNP Paribas, noted that the ECB shifted its focus from too-high inflation to too-weak growth, adding that "it makes perfect sense to accelerate the pace of easing, even if high uncertainty still calls for some caution."

Traders will take more cues from the press conference after the interest rate decision. Any dovish comments from the ECB Christine Lagarde could exert some selling pressure on the Euro (EUR). 

On the other hand, the UK inflation eased sharply in September, spurring rate cut bets by the Bank of England (BoE) in the November meeting. This, in turn, could weigh on the GBP and cap the downside for EUR/GBP. The annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation eased to 1.7% in September from 2.2% in August, the lowest reading since April 2021, the Office for National Statistics revealed. The UK Retail Sales data will be published on Friday. However, if the report shows a surprise upside outcome, this could provide some support to the GBP in the near term. 

ECB FAQs

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets - usually government or corporate bonds - from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.17

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.17

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Falls to near 0.6050 within the descending channel

The NZD/USD continues its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, hovering around 0.6050 during Thursday's European trading session.
New
update2024.10.17 16:48

EUR/USD extends decline ahead of ECB policy meeting

EUR/USD exhibits weakness near 1.0850 on Thursday. The major currency pair faces sharp selling pressure ahead of the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision, which will be announced at 12:15 GMT.
New
update2024.10.17 16:35

US Dollar Index gains traction above 103.50 as traders await US Retail Sales data

The US Dollar Index (DXY) extends the rally to multi-week tops near 103.60 during the early European session on Thursday.
New
update2024.10.17 16:15

USD/CAD rises toward 1.3800 ahead of US Retail Sales data

USD/CAD gains ground due to solid US Dollar (USD), which could be attributed to the fading likelihood of further bumper rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) following strong US labor and inflation data.
New
update2024.10.17 16:06

European Central Bank set to trim interest rates again as economic outlook worsens

The European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision will be announced following the October monetary policy meeting at 12:15 GMT on Thursday.
New
update2024.10.17 16:00

Forex Today: ECB policy decisions, US data to lift market volatility

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, October 17: The US Dollar (USD) continued to gather strength against its major rivals midweek, with the USD Index rising 0.3% to register its highest daily close in over two months on Wednesday.
New
update2024.10.17 15:47

EUR/GBP edges lower to near 0.8350 as investors await ECB rate decision

The EUR/GBP cross trades on a weaker note around 0.8355 during the early European session on Thursday.
New
update2024.10.17 14:57

FX option expiries for Oct 17 NY cut

FX option expiries for Oct 17 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
New
update2024.10.17 14:46

EUR/JPY trades with modest losses above 162.00 mark, ECB decision awaited

The EUR/JPY cross attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Thursday, with bears still awaiting a sustained break below the 162.00 mark before positioning for an extension of the recent pullback from the 163.55-163.60 supply zone.
New
update2024.10.17 14:24

USD/CHF appreciates above 0.8650 ahead of Swiss Trade Balance data

USD/CHF extends its gains for the second successive day, hovering around 0.8660 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday.
New
update2024.10.17 14:11

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel