Select Language

EUR/USD remains below 1.0900, further downside seems possible as the ECB decision looms

Breaking news

EUR/USD remains below 1.0900, further downside seems possible as the ECB decision looms

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.16 13:37
EUR/USD remains below 1.0900, further downside seems possible as the ECB decision looms

update 2024.10.16 13:37

  • EUR/USD depreciates as the ECB could deliver a 25 basis cut on Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility.
  • The US Dollar Index hovers near its two-month high of 103.35, reached on Monday.
  • Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic anticipates just one more interest rate cut of 25 basis points in 2024.

EUR/USD holds its position after a four-day losing streak, trading around 1.0890 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The Euro may face downward pressure as the European Central Bank (ECB) is widely anticipated to implement a 25 basis point cut on both the Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility Rate during Thursday's policy meeting.

Traders are expected to closely watch the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data from the Eurozone, set to be released on Thursday, ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) policy decision.

Additionally, the ECB's Monetary Policy Statement and President Christine Lagarde's speech during the post-meeting press conference will be key events of interest, as they may provide insights into the bank's monetary policy direction.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against other six major currencies, maintains its position around its two-month high of 103.35, recorded on Monday. Last week's strong jobs and inflation data have reduced expectations for aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024.

Markets are now forecasting a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts over the next year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 94.1% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November, with no expectation of a larger 50-basis-point reduction.

On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic stated that he anticipates just one more interest rate cut of 25 basis points this year, as reflected in his projections during last month's US central bank meeting. "The median forecast was for 50 basis points beyond the 50 basis points already implemented in September, according to Reuters.

Interest rates FAQs

Interest rates are charged by financial institutions on loans to borrowers and are paid as interest to savers and depositors. They are influenced by base lending rates, which are set by central banks in response to changes in the economy. Central banks normally have a mandate to ensure price stability, which in most cases means targeting a core inflation rate of around 2%. If inflation falls below target the central bank may cut base lending rates, with a view to stimulating lending and boosting the economy. If inflation rises substantially above 2% it normally results in the central bank raising base lending rates in an attempt to lower inflation.

Higher interest rates generally help strengthen a country's currency as they make it a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.

Higher interest rates overall weigh on the price of Gold because they increase the opportunity cost of holding Gold instead of investing in an interest-bearing asset or placing cash in the bank. If interest rates are high that usually pushes up the price of the US Dollar (USD), and since Gold is priced in Dollars, this has the effect of lowering the price of Gold.

The Fed funds rate is the overnight rate at which US banks lend to each other. It is the oft-quoted headline rate set by the Federal Reserve at its FOMC meetings. It is set as a range, for example 4.75%-5.00%, though the upper limit (in that case 5.00%) is the quoted figure. Market expectations for future Fed funds rate are tracked by the CME FedWatch tool, which shapes how many financial markets behave in anticipation of future Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.16

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.16

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Brent crude oil prices fall a third day in a row - DBS

Meanwhile, Brent crude oil prices fell a third day by 3.8% to $74.52 per barrel, its lowest level since October 2, DBS' FX analyst Philip Wee notes.
New
update2024.10.16 19:27

NZD: Markets increase their dovish bets to -60bp - DBS

The New Zealand third-quarter CPI came in line with consensus that added pressure to the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) overnight, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2024.10.16 19:22

Gold closes in on $2,685 record high

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its recovery into the lower $2,680s on Wednesday after market jitters caused by a dip in US Manufacturing data on Tuesday led to a decline in the US Dollar (USD), a fall in US Treasury yields and a downward revision to the expected path of US interest rates.
New
update2024.10.16 19:20

DXY: Caught between two forces - DBS

The Dollar Index (DXY) failed thrice over the past two days to trade above the significant resistance of around 103.30, DBS' FX analyst Philip Wee notes.
New
update2024.10.16 19:17

EUR/USD remains fragile as traders brace for ECB policy meeting

EUR/USD falls further to near 1.0880 in Wednesday's European session.
New
update2024.10.16 19:10

CAD: To outperform into BoC rate announcement - ING

Canadian headline inflation slowed to 1.6%. The jobs market strengthened in September, expect CAD outperformance next week around the Bank of Canada rate announcement, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2024.10.16 18:59

USD/CNH: Sudden surge suggests further USD strength to 7.1600 - UOB Group

USD strength is likely to continue; the levels to monitor are 7.1480 and 7.1600.
New
update2024.10.16 18:57

ECB meeting can provide a 'buy the rumour, sell the fact' scenario for EUR - DBS

EUR/USD depreciated 0.2% to 1.0893 overnight before tomorrow's European Central Bank meeting, DBS' FX analyst Philip Wee notes.
New
update2024.10.16 18:49

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a 148.55/149.60 range - UOB Group

The US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 148.55/149.60 range.
New
update2024.10.16 18:45

CEE: Further signs of calming geopolitics means a boost for the region - ING

Yesterday's final inflation numbers confirmed an increase in inflation in Poland from 4.3% to 4.9%, ING's FX analyst Frantisek Taborsky notes.
New
update2024.10.16 18:41

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel