Select Language

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Attracts some sellers near 100.00, further consolidation cannot be ruled out

Breaking news

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Attracts some sellers near 100.00, further consolidation cannot be ruled out

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.04 15:34
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Attracts some sellers near 100.00, further consolidation cannot be ruled out

update 2024.10.04 15:34

  • AUD/JPY weakens to near 100.00 in Friday's early Asian session, down 0.50% on the day.
  • The cross keeps the bullish vibe above the key 100-period EMA, but RSI indicator shows neutral momentum. 
  • The immediate resistance level is located at 100.73; the first downside target emerges at the 99.00 psychological level.

The AUD/JPY cross extends its decline to around 100.00 during the early European session on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) climbs against the Australian Dollar (AUD) after comments from Japan's ministers earlier in the day.

Japan's new economy minister Ryosei Akazawa said on Friday that the timing of changes in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy should be aligned with the broader goal of exiting deflation. Additionally, Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi announced on Friday that new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has instructed the compilation of a comprehensive economic package. Hayashi added that he will submit a supplementary budget to Parliament after the lower house election. 

According to the 4-hour chart, the positive outlook of the AUD/JPY cross prevails as the cross holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). However, the further consolidation cannot be ruled out as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the midline, suggesting the neutral momentum of the cross. 

The immediate resistance level emerges near the high of October at 100.73. Further north, the next upside barrier is seen at 101.35, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. The additional upside filter to watch is the 102.00 psychological mark. 

On the downside, the 99.00 psychological level acts as an initial support level for the cross. Any follow-through selling below this level will see a drop to the 98.45-98.65 region, representing the 100-period EMA and the lower limit of the Bollinger Band. Extended losses will see the next downside target at 97.63, the low of September 23.

AUD/JPY 4-hour chart

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world's most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan's policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan's mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ's stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen's value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.04

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.04

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

DXY: Payrolls data eyed - OCBC

The US Dollar (USD) is up for the 4th consecutive session overnight as US data surprised to the upside while geopolitical tensions in the middle east remains elevated.
New
update2024.10.04 18:25

EUR/USD: Expected to trade between 1.1000 and 1.0050 - UOB Group

The Euro (EUR) is expected to trade between 1.1000 and 1.0050.
New
update2024.10.04 18:20

Mexican Peso: up move halts at key level

The Mexican Peso (MXN) fluctuates between minor gains and losses on Friday during the European session after clocking up four successive up days in all three of its most-traded pairs: USD/MXN, EUR/MXN, and GBP/MXN.
New
update2024.10.04 18:05

USD/CHF remains below 50-day SMA hurdle near 0.8540 ahead of US NFP

The USD/CHF pair reverses an intraday dip to the 0.8500 psychological mark and climbs back closer to a three-week top during the first half of the European session on Friday.
New
update2024.10.04 18:00

Iran's Khamenei: We will not delay nor rush to respond to Israel

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Friday that "we will not delay nor rush to respond to Israel." Further comments Muslim nations have a common enemy.
New
update2024.10.04 17:58

Forex Today: US Nonfarm Payrolls data for September to drive USD performance

Here is what you need to know on Friday, October 4: The US Dollar (USD) Index, which tracks the USD's valuation against a basket of six major currencies, extended its weekly uptrend and registered its highest daily close since mid-August on Thursday.
New
update2024.10.04 17:46

GBP/JPY trims a part of intraday losses, keeps the red below mid-191.00s

The GBP/JPY cross finds some near the 191.70 region on Friday and for now, seems to have stalled the overnight sharp pullback from a one-week high - levels beyond the 195.00 psychological mark.
New
update2024.10.04 17:27

BoE's Pill: Need for caution points to a gradual withdrawal of policy restriction

Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill said in a scheduled appearance on Friday that there is an "ample reason for caution in assessing the dissipation of inflation persistence." Pill added that the "need for such caution points to a gradual withdrawal of monetary policy restriction." Additional comments Further cuts in bank rate remain in prospect but it will be important to guard against the risk of cutting rates either too far or too fast.
New
update2024.10.04 17:21

ECB"s Centeno: Inflation is controlled

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Mario Centeno said on Friday that "inflation is controlled." Additional quotes Inflation today is very close to 2%.
New
update2024.10.04 17:12

EUR/USD trades cautiously above 1.1000 ahead of US NFP

EUR/USD trades in a tight range above the psychological support of 1.1000 in Friday's European session.
New
update2024.10.04 16:55

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel