USD/JPY Price Forecast: Slips on soft US PMIs, drops below 144.00

• USD/JPY falls to 143.45 after reaching a daily high of 144.46, pressured by softer US data fueling Fed rate cut speculation.
• Technical outlook remains bearish, with momentum favoring sellers as the pair fails to clear resistance at 143.81 (Kijun-Sen).
• Key support levels include the Senkou Span A at 142.92 and the Tenkan-Sen at 142.03, with further downside targeting 141.73 and 139.58.

The USD/JPY snapped two days of gains and dropped late in the North American session following softer-than-expected US economic data, fueling rate cut speculation by the Federal Reserve. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 143.45 after hitting a daily high of 144.46.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the USD/JPY is downward biased despite printing a leg-up after bouncing from the September 16 low of 139.58 to the September 20 high of 144.49. It should be said that the rally continued to remain capped by the Kijun-Sen at 143.81, opening the door for further losses.

Momentum remains negative, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) portrays. Therefore, tha path of least resistance is tilted to the downside.

The first support would be the Senkou Span Aat 142.92, followed by the Tenkan-Sen at 142.03, before challenging the September 20 swing low of 141.73. If surpassed, the USD/JPY could aim toward the September 16 pivot low of 139.58.

Conversely, if USD/JPY buyers move in and push prices above 144.00, further upside lies above the September 20 high of 144.49.

USD/JPY Price Action - Daily Chart