Select Language

EUR/GBP holds below 0.8450 as UK CPI inflation steadies at 2.2% YoY in August

Breaking news

EUR/GBP holds below 0.8450 as UK CPI inflation steadies at 2.2% YoY in August

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.09.18 15:40
EUR/GBP holds below 0.8450 as UK CPI inflation steadies at 2.2% YoY in August

update 2024.09.18 15:40

  • EUR/GBP weakens around 0.8445 in Wednesday's early European session. 
  • The UK annual CPI climbed 2.2% in August vs. 2.2% expected.
  • Investors will shift their focus to the Eurozone HICP inflation for August, which is due on Wednesday. 

The EUR/GBP cross loses its recovery momentum near 0.8445 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) edges higher after the UK inflation data. The attention will shift to the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data, wishes to you later in the day. 

Data released by the Office for National Statistics showed on Wednesday that the UK CPI rose at an annual pace of 2.2% in August. The figure was in line with the market consensus and the previous reading of 2.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy items, climbed 3.6% YoY in August versus 3.3% in July, hotter than the 3.5% expected. The GBP attracts some buyers in an immediate reaction to the UK CPI inflation data. 

The Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision will be in the spotlight on Thursday. The UK central bank is anticipated to keep rates on hold before adopting a more aggressive stance from November. The odds of another 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in September increased but remain relatively low nearly 35%, according to LSEG data.

On the Euro front, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said on Monday that the central bank will ease monetary policy further, though it shouldn't do so too hastily due to lingering inflation risks. Less dovish interest rate guidance from European Central Bank (ECB) officials might help limit the Euro's losses against the GBP.

The Eurozone HICP inflation might offer some hints about the inflation trajectory in the Eurozone and influence the ECB about the next move. The HICP is estimated to show an increase of 2.2% YoY in August, while the core HICP is forecasted to show a rise of 2.8% in the same period.

Inflation FAQs

Inflation measures the rise in the price of a representative basket of goods and services. Headline inflation is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core inflation excludes more volatile elements such as food and fuel which can fluctuate because of geopolitical and seasonal factors. Core inflation is the figure economists focus on and is the level targeted by central banks, which are mandated to keep inflation at a manageable level, usually around 2%.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and services over a period of time. It is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core CPI is the figure targeted by central banks as it excludes volatile food and fuel inputs. When Core CPI rises above 2% it usually results in higher interest rates and vice versa when it falls below 2%. Since higher interest rates are positive for a currency, higher inflation usually results in a stronger currency. The opposite is true when inflation falls.

Although it may seem counter-intuitive, high inflation in a country pushes up the value of its currency and vice versa for lower inflation. This is because the central bank will normally raise interest rates to combat the higher inflation, which attract more global capital inflows from investors looking for a lucrative place to park their money.

Formerly, Gold was the asset investors turned to in times of high inflation because it preserved its value, and whilst investors will often still buy Gold for its safe-haven properties in times of extreme market turmoil, this is not the case most of the time. This is because when inflation is high, central banks will put up interest rates to combat it. Higher interest rates are negative for Gold because they increase the opportunity-cost of holding Gold vis-a-vis an interest-bearing asset or placing the money in a cash deposit account. On the flipside, lower inflation tends to be positive for Gold as it brings interest rates down, making the bright metal a more viable investment alternative.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.09.18

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.09.18

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

China economic activity undershoots this year's 5% growth target - BBH

China economic activity remains sluggish and is undershooting this year's 5% growth target.
New
update2024.10.18 20:17

DXY: To trade around 102 - DBS

The Dollar Index's (DXY) recovery looks overstretched after having appreciated 3% so far this month, DBS' FX analyst Philip Wee notes.
New
update2024.10.18 20:13

US Dollar halts recent gains after China steps up supportive measures

The US Dollar (USD) turns flat to a touch softer on Friday with some profit-taking after steep rallies against many major G20 currencies this week.
New
update2024.10.18 20:13

USD/JPY: Jawboning on the yen resumed - BBH

USD/JPY is struggling to sustain a break above 150.00 as jawboning on the yen resumed, BBH FX analysts note.
New
update2024.10.18 20:10

ECB: Risks to economic growth are tilted to the downside - BBH

EUR/USD retraced some of yesterday's post-ECB meeting slump.
New
update2024.10.18 20:06

CEE: FX welcomes central bankers' hawkishness - ING

As expected, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) left rates unchanged at 50% and added a bit to its hawkish communication.
New
update2024.10.18 19:49

MXN/BRL: Trump risks trigger repricing - Commerzbank

Latin American currencies have undergone quite a correction in recent days, with all currencies depreciating, led by the Mexican peso.
New
update2024.10.18 19:45

Crude Oil consolidates negative week as geopolitical tensions abate

Crude Oil found a floor earlier this week and stabilizes above the $70.00 level on Friday, although the lifespan could be minimal, seeing the last headlines.
New
update2024.10.18 19:40

USD/CNH: Further USD strength to 7.1600 and 7.1900 - UOB Group

USD is likely to trade in a range between 7.1180 and 7.1480.
New
update2024.10.18 19:39

Goods prices in Japan are now also weakening - Commerzbank

At first glance, this morning's national inflation figures from Japan could be seen as positive for further interest rate hikes.
New
update2024.10.18 19:35

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel