Select Language

USD/CHF holds below 0.8450 as investors bet on 50 bps rate cut

Breaking news

USD/CHF holds below 0.8450 as investors bet on 50 bps rate cut

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.09.17 14:29
USD/CHF holds below 0.8450 as investors bet on 50 bps rate cut

update 2024.09.17 14:29

  • USD/CHF edges lower to near 0.8440 in Tuesday's Asian session. 
  • The US Dollar remains under pressure amid dovish Fed. 
  • Economists see the SNB cut rates by another quarter-point cut on September 26. 

The USD/CHF pair trades in negative territory for the fourth consecutive day around 0.8440 during the early European session on Tuesday. The rising expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut a larger interest rate at its upcoming monetary policy meeting on Wednesday weighs on the US Dollar (USD). Ahead of the key event, the US Retail Sales for August are due on Tuesday. 

The USD traded near the lowest levels of the year in the previous session as markets are betting on an outsized rate cut by the Fed. Fed Chair Jerome Powel said last month at the Jackson Hole that inflation had come under control just enough for the Fed to finally feel comfortable dialing back policy. 

The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to cut the interest rate at its September on Wednesday, the first time in four years. Investors will also take more cues from interest rate projections, known as the "dot plot". The expectation of aggressive rate cuts might continue to undermine the Greenback in the near term. 

On the Swiss front, economists forecast the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will lower rates by another quarter-point cut on September 26, Markets are now pricing in a roughly one-in-three chance, up from zero just a month ago, per Bloomberg. Meanwhile, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could boost the safe-haven demand, benefitting the Swiss Franc (CHF). Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Sunday that Yemen's Houthis will pay a "heavy price" after a missile fired by the group landed in central Israel, according to the BBC.

Swiss Franc FAQs

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is Switzerland's official currency. It is among the top ten most traded currencies globally, reaching volumes that well exceed the size of the Swiss economy. Its value is determined by the broad market sentiment, the country's economic health or action taken by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), among other factors. Between 2011 and 2015, the Swiss Franc was pegged to the Euro (EUR). The peg was abruptly removed, resulting in a more than 20% increase in the Franc's value, causing a turmoil in markets. Even though the peg isn't in force anymore, CHF fortunes tend to be highly correlated with the Euro ones due to the high dependency of the Swiss economy on the neighboring Eurozone.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is considered a safe-haven asset, or a currency that investors tend to buy in times of market stress. This is due to the perceived status of Switzerland in the world: a stable economy, a strong export sector, big central bank reserves or a longstanding political stance towards neutrality in global conflicts make the country's currency a good choice for investors fleeing from risks. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen CHF value against other currencies that are seen as more risky to invest in.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) meets four times a year - once every quarter, less than other major central banks - to decide on monetary policy. The bank aims for an annual inflation rate of less than 2%. When inflation is above target or forecasted to be above target in the foreseeable future, the bank will attempt to tame price growth by raising its policy rate. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Swiss Franc (CHF) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken CHF.

Macroeconomic data releases in Switzerland are key to assessing the state of the economy and can impact the Swiss Franc's (CHF) valuation. The Swiss economy is broadly stable, but any sudden change in economic growth, inflation, current account or the central bank's currency reserves have the potential to trigger moves in CHF. Generally, high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence are good for CHF. Conversely, if economic data points to weakening momentum, CHF is likely to depreciate.

As a small and open economy, Switzerland is heavily dependent on the health of the neighboring Eurozone economies. The broader European Union is Switzerland's main economic partner and a key political ally, so macroeconomic and monetary policy stability in the Eurozone is essential for Switzerland and, thus, for the Swiss Franc (CHF). With such dependency, some models suggest that the correlation between the fortunes of the Euro (EUR) and the CHF is more than 90%, or close to perfect.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.09.17

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.09.17

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Japanese Yen remains subdued as Fed's Powell says 50 bps cuts are not a new pace

The Japanese Yen (JPY) has trimmed its intraday losses but remains weaker against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday.
New
update2024.09.19 13:13

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD climbs closer to mid-$30.00s, seems poised to appreciate further

Silver (XAG/USD) regains positive traction during the Asian session on Thursday and moves further away from the weekly low, around the $29.70 area touched the previous day.
New
update2024.09.19 13:02

USD/INR rebounds despite Fed's aggressive rate cut

The Indian Rupee (INR) loses ground amid the recovery of the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday.
New
update2024.09.19 12:06

GBP/USD trims a part of intraday losses, down a little below 1.3200 ahead of BoE

The GBP/USD pair finds some support near the 1.3150 region on Thursday and for now, seems to have stalled its retracement slide from the 1.3300 neighborhood, or the highest level since March 2022 touched the previous day.
New
update2024.09.19 12:00

WTI rises to near $69.50, upside seems limited due to subdued response after Fed decision

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price retraces its recent losses from the previous session, trading around $69.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Thursday.
New
update2024.09.19 11:42

Gold price remains on the defensive amid the post-FOMC USD recovery from YTD low

Gold price (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround after hitting a new record high, around the $2,600 mark and settled in the red for the second straight day on Wednesday.
New
update2024.09.19 11:24

Australian Dollar remains subdued following employment data

The Australian Dollar (AUD) breaks its three-day winning streak against the US Dollar (USD), following the labor market report released on Thursday.
New
update2024.09.19 10:49

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0983 vs. 7.0870 previous

The People's Bank of China (PBoC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Thursday at 7.0983, as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.0870 and 7.0924 Reuters estimates.
New
update2024.09.19 10:17

USD/JPY jumps above 143.50, focus shifts to BoJ rate decision

The USD/JPY pair gains traction around 143.55 on Thursday during the early European session.
New
update2024.09.19 09:56

NZD/USD weakens near 0.6200 as New Zealand GDP shrinks by 0.2% in Q2

The NZD/USD pair edges lower to near 0.6200 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
New
update2024.09.19 09:05

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel