Select Language

EUR/JPY trades with modest losses around 159.00, seems vulnerable near one-month low

Breaking news

EUR/JPY trades with modest losses around 159.00, seems vulnerable near one-month low

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.09.06 12:55
EUR/JPY trades with modest losses around 159.00, seems vulnerable near one-month low

update 2024.09.06 12:55

  • EUR/JPY drifts lower on Friday amid sustained buying interest surrounding the JPY.
  • Hawkish BoJ expectations, along with a softer risk tone, benefit the safe-haven JPY.
  • Bets for a September ECB rate cut undermine the Euro and contribute to the slide.

The EUR/JPY cross struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest bounce from the vicinity of mid-158.00s or a nearly one-month low and attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 159.00 mark amid the prevalent buying interest surrounding the Japanese Yen (JPY).

Against the backdrop of hawkish Bank of Japan (BOJ) expectations, a generally weaker tone around the equity market is seen as a key factor underpinning the safe-haven JPY. In fact, the markets have been pricing in the possibility of another BOJ rate hike by the end of this year and the bets were reaffirmed by data released on Thursday, showing that real wages in Japan rose for the second straight month in July. 

Furthermore, BoJ Board Member Hajime Takata said that we must adjust monetary conditions by another gear if we can confirm that firms will continue to increase capital expenditure, wages, and prices. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) is almost certain to cut interest rates again in September in the wake of declining inflation in the Eurozone. This further contributes to the EUR/JPY pair's downtick.

The shared currency, however, seems to draw some support from a modest US Dollar (USD) weakness, led by bets for a larger interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) later this month. This, in turn, might hold back traders from placing aggressive bearish bets around the EUR/JPY cross and help limit deeper losses. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register losses for the third successive week.

Bank of Japan FAQs

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.

The Bank of Japan has embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy since 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank's policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds.

The Bank's massive stimulus has caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process has exacerbated more recently due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ's policy of holding down rates has led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen.

A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices have led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which has exceeded the BoJ's 2% target. With wage inflation becoming a cause of concern, the BoJ looks to move away from ultra loose policy, while trying to avoid slowing the activity too much.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.09.06

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.09.06

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Mexican Peso stays flat following Fed rate cut, eyes on Banxico

The Mexican Peso remained unchanged against the US Dollar during the North American session on Thursday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered interest rates for the first time in four years.
New
update2024.09.20 01:24

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Technical outlook favors the downside as selling pressure mounts

Thursday's session saw the EUR/GBP slightly decline by 0.20% below 0.8400.
New
update2024.09.20 01:00

EUR/JPY surges on sentiment improvement yet struggles at 160.00

The Euro rallied sharply against the Japanese Yen on Thursday amid a scarce economic docket.
New
update2024.09.19 23:13

NZD/USD struggles to seize two-week high of 0.6270 as US Dollar bounces back

The NZD/USD pair gains significantly by more than 0.5% but struggles to seize the two-week high of 0.6270 in Thursday's North American session.
New
update2024.09.19 23:00

BoE: There is a premium on patience - Rabobank

Bank of England (BoE) left the policy unchanged, as expected, at 5%, in a 8-1 split vote, Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman notes.
New
update2024.09.19 23:00

Correlation between Gold and the broad USD grows - TDS

Price action in Gold is telling you that macro fund positioning is extreme, TDS commodity analyst Daniel Ghali notes.
New
update2024.09.19 22:53

The Fed joins the easing cycle with a bang - TDS

The Fed joins the global easing cycle, and the focus now shifts to the relative pace of cuts, TDS macro analysts note.
New
update2024.09.19 22:34

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Touches new yearly high but diverging with momentum

GBP/USD has rallied to a new high for 2024 on Thursday; the pair reached 1.3314 during trading on Thursday, its highest price for the year.
New
update2024.09.19 22:30

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Posts new high for 2024 but diverging bearishly with RSI

AUD/USD reaches a new high for 2024 at 0.6839 on Thursday, after the leg higher that began at the September 11 lows extends.
New
update2024.09.19 22:11

Bailey speech: Optimistic UK interest rates will fall further

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday that he is optimistic that interest rates in the UK will fall but added that they need more evidence, per Reuters.
New
update2024.09.19 22:08

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel