Select Language

USD/CAD extends its recovery near 1.3500 as traders brace for US PMI data

Breaking news

USD/CAD extends its recovery near 1.3500 as traders brace for US PMI data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.09.03 08:21
USD/CAD extends its recovery near 1.3500 as traders brace for US PMI data

update 2024.09.03 08:21

  • USD/CAD trades in positive territory for the fifth consecutive day around 1.3500 in Monday's early Asian session.
  • Traders await the US August ISM Manufacturing PMI on Tuesday ahead of US employment data.
  • The rebound of crude oil prices might support the CAD and cap the pair's upside.

The USD/CAD pair trades on a stronger note near 1.3500 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The USD Index (DXY), which measures the USD's value against a basket of six major currencies, consolidated around 101.60 as traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key labor data this week. On Tuesday, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI will be in the spotlight.

The Greenback remains on the defensive, marking its biggest monthly drop this year in August amid the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. "The dollar has been under pressure and it will remain under pressure over the remainder of this year," said Guy Miller, chief market strategist, Zurich Insurance Group.

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for August, which is due on Tuesday, is expected to improve to 47.5 in August from 46.8 in July. If the reading shows a stronger-than-expected outcome, this could provide some support to the US Dollar (USD) against the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

The attention will shift to the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday, which is estimated to rise to 165K in August from 114K in July. This report could provide some hints about the size and pace of the US interest rate cut by the Fed this year.

Meanwhile, supply concerns surrounding Libya's oil output could underpin the crude oil prices and boost the commodity-linked Loonie. It's worth noting that Canada is the largest Oil exporter to the United States (US), and higher crude oil prices tend to have a positive impact on the CAD value.

 

Canadian Dollar FAQs

The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada's largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada's exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive.

The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada's biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada's case is the Canadian Dollar.

Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.09.03

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.09.03

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD Price Forecast: The constructive outlook prevails above 1.1150

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive for the third consecutive day near 1.1165 during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 14:12

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD maintains position near $31.00 near two-month highs

Silver price (XAG/USD) extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $31.10 per troy ounce on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 14:03

India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices rose in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
New
update2024.09.20 13:36

USD/CAD struggles near 1.3555 area, just above two-week low amid bearish USD

The USD/CAD pair struggles to gain any meaningful traction during the Asian session on Friday and currently trades around the 1.3555 region, well within the striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.
New
update2024.09.20 13:34

AUD/JPY attracts some sellers to near 97.00 as BoJ maintains rates steady

The AUD/JPY cross loses ground around 97.05, snapping the four-day winning streak during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 13:19

GBP/JPY falls to near 189.00 following the BoJ interest rates decision

GBP/JPY breaks its four-day winning streak, trading around 189.00 during the Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 12:59

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Bulls retain control near 1.3300 mark, highest since March 2022

The GBP/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the third straight day on Friday and hovers around the 1.3300 mark during the Asian session, just below its highest level since March 2022 touched the previous day.
New
update2024.09.20 12:54

Australian Dollar recovers losses following PBoC interest rates decision

The Australian Dollar (AUD) recovers its daily losses and extends its winning streak against the US Dollar (USD) following the interest rate decision by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 12:14

EUR/JPY slides to mid-158.00s after BoJ policy decision, lacks follow-through

The EUR/JPY cross ticks lower after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced its policy decision this Friday and moves away from over a two-week high, around the 160.00 psychological mark touched the previous day.
New
update2024.09.20 12:12

NZD/USD flat lines around 0.6235-6240 area, remains close to monthly top set on Thursday

The NZD/USD pair seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses through the Asian session on Friday and currently trades around the 0.6235-0.6240 region, well within the striking distance of the monthly peak touched the previous day.
New
update2024.09.20 11:52

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel