Select Language

USD/CAD rises to near 1.3500 due to lower crude Oil prices

Breaking news

USD/CAD rises to near 1.3500 due to lower crude Oil prices

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2024.09.02 14:11
USD/CAD rises to near 1.3500 due to lower crude Oil prices

update 2024.09.02 14:11

  • USD/CAD appreciates as commodity-linked CAD faces challenges due to lower Oil prices.
  • WTI price falls as Eight OPEC+ members are set to raise production by 180,000 barrels per day in October.
  • The US Dollar advanced following July's US Personal Consumption Expenditures Index data.

USD/CAD retraces its recent losses, trading around 1.3500 during the Asian session on Monday. This upside is attributed to the tepid commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) following the lower crude Oil prices. Given the fact that Canada is the largest Oil exporter to the United States (US).

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls for the second successive session, trading around $72.50 per barrel at the time of writing. This decline may be linked to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies (OPEC+) plans to increase production in the coming quarter.

Reuters reported, citing six sources, that OPEC+ is poised to move forward with a planned increase in Oil output starting in October. Eight OPEC+ members are set to raise production by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) next month as part of a strategy to begin unwinding their most recent reduction of 2.2 million bpd, while maintaining other cuts until the end of 2025.

US Dollar (USD) received support as July's US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index data led traders to scale back expectations of an aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut in September. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are fully anticipating at least a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Fed at its September meeting.

Traders are now likely to focus on the upcoming US employment figures, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for August, to gain further insights into the potential size and pace of Fed rate cuts. On the Loonie front, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be eyed on Tuesday.

Canadian Dollar FAQs

The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada's largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada's exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive.

The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada's biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD.

While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada's case is the Canadian Dollar.

Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.


Date

Created

 : 2024.09.02

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.09.02

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs into another record high

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) pierced the 42,000 psychological level on Thursday as equities drove higher in a broad-market bull run after the Federal Reserve (Fed) finally delivered its first rate cut in over four years.
New
update2024.09.20 02:37

Mexican Peso stays flat following Fed rate cut, eyes on Banxico

The Mexican Peso remained unchanged against the US Dollar during the North American session on Thursday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered interest rates for the first time in four years.
New
update2024.09.20 01:24

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Technical outlook favors the downside as selling pressure mounts

Thursday's session saw the EUR/GBP slightly decline by 0.20% below 0.8400.
New
update2024.09.20 01:00

EUR/JPY surges on sentiment improvement yet struggles at 160.00

The Euro rallied sharply against the Japanese Yen on Thursday amid a scarce economic docket.
New
update2024.09.19 23:13

NZD/USD struggles to seize two-week high of 0.6270 as US Dollar bounces back

The NZD/USD pair gains significantly by more than 0.5% but struggles to seize the two-week high of 0.6270 in Thursday's North American session.
New
update2024.09.19 23:00

BoE: There is a premium on patience - Rabobank

Bank of England (BoE) left the policy unchanged, as expected, at 5%, in a 8-1 split vote, Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman notes.
New
update2024.09.19 23:00

Correlation between Gold and the broad USD grows - TDS

Price action in Gold is telling you that macro fund positioning is extreme, TDS commodity analyst Daniel Ghali notes.
New
update2024.09.19 22:53

The Fed joins the easing cycle with a bang - TDS

The Fed joins the global easing cycle, and the focus now shifts to the relative pace of cuts, TDS macro analysts note.
New
update2024.09.19 22:34

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Touches new yearly high but diverging with momentum

GBP/USD has rallied to a new high for 2024 on Thursday; the pair reached 1.3314 during trading on Thursday, its highest price for the year.
New
update2024.09.19 22:30

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Posts new high for 2024 but diverging bearishly with RSI

AUD/USD reaches a new high for 2024 at 0.6839 on Thursday, after the leg higher that began at the September 11 lows extends.
New
update2024.09.19 22:11

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel