Select Language

USD/JPY Price Forecast:  Soars past 146.00 boosted by US yields

Breaking news

USD/JPY Price Forecast:  Soars past 146.00 boosted by US yields

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2024.08.31 06:00
USD/JPY Price Forecast:  Soars past 146.00 boosted by US yields

update 2024.08.31 06:00

  • USD/JPY maintains a downward bias, needing to break key resistances for a bullish shift.
  • Short-term buyer momentum faces obstacles at 146.93 (Senkou Span A) and 148.46 (Kijun-Sen), with an eye on the 149.39 peak.
  • Mixed RSI signals suggest short-term buyer dominance but an unclear broader trend.
  • A drop below 145.39 (Tenkan-Sen) could trigger further losses, with supports at 143.44 (August 26 low) and 141.69 (August 5 low).

The USD/JPY rallied past the 146.00 figure for the first time of the week, as US Treasury bond yields rose sharply following the release of the Fed's favorite inflation report. The US 10-year Treasury note yield rose four and a half basis points to 3.909%, underpinning the major towards 146.17 after bouncing off daily lows of 145.56.

USD/JPY Price Forecast:  Technical outlook

The USD/JPY is downward biased despite surpassing above the Tenkan-Sen lying at 145.39. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that momentum is mixed, with the indicator being at bearish territory but aiming up.

Short-term buyers are in charge, but they must push the USD/JPY spot price above the Senkou Span A at 146.93 and clear the Kijun-Sen at 148.46 before they can clear the latest cycle high at 149.39, the August 15 daily high.

Conversely, a USD/JPY move below the Tenkan-Sen will expose the latest cycle low, seen at 143.44, the August 26 low. The pair could extend its losses past that level, and sellers could target August 5 through 141.69.

USD/JPY Price Action - Daily Chart

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world's most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan's policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan's mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The current BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy, based on massive stimulus to the economy, has caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process has exacerbated more recently due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation.

The BoJ's stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supports a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favors the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen's value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.08.31

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.08.31

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

AUD/USD strengthens above 0.6800 on RBA-Fed policy divergence, eyes on PBoC rate decision

The AUD/USD pair trades on a stronger note near 0.6810 during the early Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 09:12

Japan's National CPI climbs 3.0% YoY in August, Core CPI rises as expected

Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 3.0% YoY in August, compared to the previous reading of 2.8%, according to the latest data released by the Japan Statistics Bureau on Friday, Further details unveil that the National CPI ex Fresh food arrived at 2.8% YoY in August versus 2.7% prior.
New
update2024.09.20 08:32

EUR/USD grapples with higher ground as Fed cuts weigh on Greenback

EUR/USD found the high end on Thursday, holding fast to the 1.1150 level, though most of the pair's bullish momentum comes from a broad-market selloff in the Greenback rather than any particular bullish fix in the Euro.
New
update2024.09.20 08:32

US Treasury Sec. Yellen: The Fed rate cut is very positive sign for the economy

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Friday that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut is very positive sign for the US economy.
New
update2024.09.20 08:12

GBP/USD tests 1.33 as Greenback weakness prevails

GBP/USD found a fresh 30-month high bid on Thursday, with a broad-market selloff in the US Dollar sparking a risk bid in Cable and bolstering the Pound Sterling.
New
update2024.09.20 08:03

USD/CAD softens near 1.3550 on bearish US Dollar, investors await BoC's Macklem speech

The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers near 1.3560, snapping the two-day winning streak during the early Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 08:01

Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July's hike shocked markets

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review.
New
update2024.09.20 08:00

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD surges as Fed rate cut spurs rally toward $31.00

Silver climbed sharply during Thursday's North American session, printing solid gains of over 2%, and closed at around $30.77.
New
update2024.09.20 07:14

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls attempt to retake the 20-day SMA, outlook promising

On Thursday, the NZD/USD pair rose to 0.6239, above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) which served as a strong resistance in the last sessions.
New
update2024.09.20 06:53

Australian Dollar on the rise amid Greenback weakness

The AUD/USD rose by 0.70% to 0.6815 in Thursday's session. This marks the fourth consecutive session of gains for the AUD/USD, as the Greenback continues to weaken in the wake of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 50-basis-point rate cut.
New
update2024.09.20 05:30

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel