Created
: 2024.08.30
2024.08.30 23:21
The EUR/GBP pair is all set to conclude the week in red for the third straight week. The asset remains on the backfoot as the Euro (EUR) weakens, with financial market participants seeming to be confident that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates again in September after announcing the first in the June meeting.
The ECB is almost certain to reduce its key borrowing rates next month as price pressures in the Eurozone economy have declined expectedly in August and its economic outlook is uncertain, with growing fears that the German economy could enter a recession.
Flash Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) report for August, released in Friday's European trading hours, reported that the headline and core inflation- which excludes volatile items like energy, food, alcohol and tobacco- decelerated expectedly to 2.2% and 2.8%, respectively. Month-on-month core HICP rose by 0.3% after contracting in July.
Market speculation for ECB rate cuts in September was already firm as German HICP returned to the bank's target of 2% in August, according to the data released on Thursday.
"Fading inflationary pressure combined with fading growth momentum offers an almost perfect macro backdrop for another rate cut," said Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING, in a note on Thursday.
Meanwhile, the Pound Sterling (GBP) exhibits sheer strength against its major peers on expectations that the Bank of England's (BoE) policy-easing cycle would be slower. The BoE is expected to cut interest rates one more time this year. The central bank pivoted to policy normalization in its recent policy meeting on August 1.
The Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services in the European Monetary Union. The HICP, - released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, is harmonized because the same methodology is used across all member states and their contribution is weighted. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Core HICP excludes volatile components like food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco. The Core HICP is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.
Read more.Last release: Fri Aug 30, 2024 09:00 (Prel)
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 2.8%
Consensus: 2.8%
Previous: 2.9%
Source: Eurostat
Created
: 2024.08.30
Last updated
: 2024.08.30
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy