Select Language

GBP/USD hits multi-year high post Powell dovish pivot above 1.3200

Breaking news

GBP/USD hits multi-year high post Powell dovish pivot above 1.3200

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2024.08.24 01:15
GBP/USD hits multi-year high post Powell dovish pivot above 1.3200

update 2024.08.24 01:15

  • GBP/USD jumps over 1% after Powell signals potential rate cuts, reaching its highest level in two years.
  • Powell's Jackson Hole speech emphasizes data-dependent rate adjustments, with confidence in inflation returning to 2%.
  • US Dollar Index (DXY) drops 0.80% to 100.71, while the US 10-year Treasury yield falls to 3.81%, reflecting market expectations for a September rate cut.

The GBP/USD climbed sharply during the North American session after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave the green light to cutting interest rates, as he's confident that inflation is edging towards the central bank's 2% goal. The pair traded above 1.3200, at around new two-year highs, gaining over 1%.

GBP/USD hits new two-year highs above 1.3200

At his Jackson Hole speech, Jerome Powell said, "The time has come for policy to adjust," adding that the size and timing of rate cuts would be data dependent. He said he's confident that inflation "is on a sustainable path back to 2%," though he mentioned that risks in employment had tilted to the upside.

Meanwhile, traders of Fed funds futures had priced in a 33% chance of the Fed cutting its interest rates by 50 basis points at the upcoming September meeting.

In response to Powell's speech, traders dumped the Greenback, which, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY), has fallen 0.80% and exchanged hands at 100.71. At the same time, the US 10-year Treasury note yield dropped four basis points to 3.81%.

GBP/USD Price Forecast:  Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD uptrend remains intact, but if traders fail to sustain the exchange rate above 1.3200, this could exacerbate a pullback. Buyers remain in charge, according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which despite being at overbought conditions, due to the strength of the trend, has not hit the 80 level. Therefore, the path pof least resistance is tilted to the upside.

The GBP/USD first resistance would be 1.3200. A breach of the latter will expose the year-to-date (YTD) high at 1.3230, followed by 1.3250 and the 1.3300 mark.

In the event of a correction, the first support for GBP/USD is seen at 1.3100. Once surpassed, the next support would be the 1.3045 July 17 daily high, previous resistance turned support, ahead of 1.3000.

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, aka 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.08.24

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.08.24

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Japan's Suzuki: Will continue to monitor, analyze impact of US rate cut on Japanese economy, financial markets

Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday that he "will continue to monitor and analyse impact of latest US rate cut on Japanese economy and financial markets." "FRB's view on US economy in line with Japanese government's view that the US economy is likely to expand," he added.
New
update2024.09.20 11:31

USD/INR weakens as likely inflows boost Indian Rupee

The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its upside on the weaker US Dollar (USD) on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 11:22

Gold price consolidates near record high, bullish potential seems intact

Gold price (XAU/USD) regained positive traction on Thursday and rallied back closer to the all-time peak touched the previous day in reaction to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to start the policy easing cycle with an oversized rate cut.
New
update2024.09.20 11:18

Japanese Yen holds gains ahead of the BoJ interest rate decision

The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) following the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 10:42

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0644 vs. 7.0983 previous

On Friday, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.0644, as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.0983 and 7.0637 Reuters estimates.
New
update2024.09.20 10:16

WTI softens below $71.00, ongoing geopolitical tensions might cap its downside

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude Oil benchmark, is trading around $70.80 on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 10:10

PBOC leaves Loan Prime Rates unchanged in September

The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, announced to leave its Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 10:06

AUD/USD strengthens above 0.6800 on RBA-Fed policy divergence, eyes on PBoC rate decision

The AUD/USD pair trades on a stronger note near 0.6810 during the early Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.09.20 09:12

Japan's National CPI climbs 3.0% YoY in August, Core CPI rises as expected

Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 3.0% YoY in August, compared to the previous reading of 2.8%, according to the latest data released by the Japan Statistics Bureau on Friday, Further details unveil that the National CPI ex Fresh food arrived at 2.8% YoY in August versus 2.7% prior.
New
update2024.09.20 08:32

EUR/USD grapples with higher ground as Fed cuts weigh on Greenback

EUR/USD found the high end on Thursday, holding fast to the 1.1150 level, though most of the pair's bullish momentum comes from a broad-market selloff in the Greenback rather than any particular bullish fix in the Euro.
New
update2024.09.20 08:32

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel